Trofense vs Pacos Ferreira: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 18Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense, Trofa
The Footlab AI model makes Pacos Ferreira the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Trofense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pacos Ferreira wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trofense vs Pacos Ferreira?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Trofense (1,915) and Pacos Ferreira (1,896).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Trofense vs Pacos Ferreira
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Trofense
4-3-3- 11Kiki
- 30Feliz Vaz
- 89Nuninho
- 65A. Gomes
- 22Matheus Claudino
- 6S. Ufala
- 21T. Oliveira
- 50T. Silva
- 3Lucca Carvalho
- 7J. Oliveira
- 31Manuel Baldé
Pacos Ferreira
4-2-3-1- 99Platiny
- 8Nuno Cunha
- 19Tomás Castro
- 6Tomás Podstawski
- 80Caio Rafael
- 10João Neto
- 33Rafael Vieira
- 15Leandro Dias
- 2Tiago Mesquita
- 29Tiago Cerveira
- 1Rafa
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trofense have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Pacos Ferreira have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Leça(home) | 1-4 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Guimaraes B(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Varzim(away) | 1-5 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | São João Ver(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Guimaraes B(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | São João Ver(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Vianense(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Fafe(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Varzim(home) | 1-4 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Trofense wins, 1 draw, 0 Pacos Ferreira wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | Trofense 1-1 Pacos Ferreira | Taça da Liga |
Last archived meeting: Trofense vs Pacos Ferreira on Dec 3, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Trofense score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pacos Ferreira score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trofense | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Pacos Ferreira | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trofense sit 9th in Liga 3 (5 points from 6 matches) and Pacos Ferreira sit 8th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacos Ferreira | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| 9 | Trofense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Trofense vs Pacos Ferreira?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trofense vs Pacos Ferreira?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pacos Ferreira the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Trofense.
- Where and when is Trofense vs Pacos Ferreira played?
- Trofense vs Pacos Ferreira is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.