SC Covilha vs Louletano: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 18Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal José Santos Pinto, Covilhã
The Footlab AI model makes Louletano the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for SC Covilha. The most likely score is 1-1. If Louletano wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Covilha vs Louletano?
Louletano starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,970 vs 1,841).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SC Covilha vs Louletano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SC Covilha
4-3-3- 99C. Niang
- 18J. Pacheco
- 7Danny
- 6A. Barbosa
- 5H. Innusah
- 8R. Coelho
- 2Kauan Gomes
- 45M. Aidara
- 23Emerson Gomes
- 22E. Gomes Silva
- 1Gustavo Galil
Louletano
4-3-3- 27N. Martelo
- 23Daniel Paulino
- 9Gonçalo Teixeira
- 3Tiago Correia
- 8Sander Ramires
- 10Vítor Gonçalves
- 97Elvis Mendes
- 12Gabriel Passos
- 14Luca van der Gaag
- 29R. Teixeira
- 71Marcão
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Covilha have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Louletano have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oliveirense(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Mortágua(home) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlético CP(home) | 0-3 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rio Ave(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Serpa(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | União Santarém(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
SC Covilha score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Louletano score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Covilha | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Louletano | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC Covilha sit 8th in Liga 3 (6 points from 6 matches) and Louletano sit 5th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
A question about SC Covilha vs Louletano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Covilha vs Louletano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Louletano the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for SC Covilha.
- Where and when is SC Covilha vs Louletano played?
- SC Covilha vs Louletano is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal José Santos Pinto, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.