Vianense vs Leça: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 9Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. José de Matos, Viana do Castelo
The Footlab AI model makes Leça the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Vianense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leça wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vianense vs Leça?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Vianense (2,004) and Leça (2,070).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vianense vs Leça
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vianense
4-3-3- 7Moisés Conceição
- 9Pedro Soares
- 80Rodrigo Melro
- 10Reko Silva
- 8B. Silva
- 68D. Maga
- 12João Faria
- 3Laercio
- 19G. Faria
- 21Henrique Brito
- 13Nuno Silva
Leça
4-3-3- 10Nicolas
- 11B. Mesquita
- 9M. Fortes
- 20Rodrigo Ferreira
- 33Diogo Pereira
- 21Carlos Avelino
- 23D. Ribeiro
- 41Cássio Scheid
- 22A. Coutinho
- 4Fábio Baldé
- 1M. Paiva
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vianense have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Leça have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paredes(home) | 3-3 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Varzim(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Minas de Argozelo(home) | 8-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | AD Marco 09(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | AD Marco 09(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mortágua(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Trofense(away) | 4-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Fafe(home) | 0-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Vianense wins, 0 draws, 2 Leça wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Vianense 3-4 Leça | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Leça 4-2 Vianense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
How many goals should we expect?
Vianense score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Leça score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vianense | 2.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Leça | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vianense sit 4th in Liga 3 (9 points from 6 matches) and Leça sit 2nd (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Leça | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
A question about Vianense vs Leça?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vianense vs Leça?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leça the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Vianense.
- Where and when is Vianense vs Leça played?
- Vianense vs Leça is played on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. José de Matos, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.