Atlético CP vs Vitória de Sernache: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 18Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Da Tapadinha, Lisboa
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético CP the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Vitória de Sernache. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético CP wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,958 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético CP vs Vitória de Sernache?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Atlético CP (1,994) and Vitória de Sernache (1,906).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético CP vs Vitória de Sernache
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético CP
4-3-3- 11H. Suker
- 38Caio Santana
- 20Edgar Pacheco
- 10Caleb
- 28Mohamed Konate
- 18Ricardo Dias
- 5V. Durand
- 2J. Martins
- 33A. Calegari
- 4D. Henriques
- 22N. Hidalgo
Vitória de Sernache
4-3-3- 13Lucas Daniel
- 7A. Dias
- 20G. Barge
- 19E. Moura
- 10André Dias
- 6R. Embalo
- 17T. Marques
- 4Matheus Matias
- 22Filipe Garcia
- 3Diego Tavares
- 1Joao Lucas
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 12:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético CP have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Vitória de Sernache have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Vizela(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Caldas(home) | 4-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lagoa(home) | 4-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Oliveirense(home) | 3-1 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Brito(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Louletano(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Varzim(home) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Caldas(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 1-3 | Liga 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético CP score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vitória de Sernache score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético CP | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Vitória de Sernache | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético CP sit 2nd in Liga 3 (13 points from 6 matches) and Vitória de Sernache sit 10th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlético CP | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 13 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Atlético CP vs Vitória de Sernache?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético CP vs Vitória de Sernache?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético CP the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Vitória de Sernache.
- Where and when is Atlético CP vs Vitória de Sernache played?
- Atlético CP vs Vitória de Sernache is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Da Tapadinha, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.