Match

Lecce vs Inter: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, Lecce

LecceInter

The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Lecce. The most likely score is 0-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lecce vs Inter?

Inter is a heavy favourite: 2,301 Elo points against 1,898, a 403-point gap.

8%16%76%
Lecce winDrawInter win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Lecce vs Inter

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Lecce

4-3-3
  1. 50S. Pierotti
  2. 22Paco Esteban
  3. 7A. Ahmed Fatah
  1. 29L. Coulibaly
  2. 20I. Ilić
  3. 14Y. Maleh
  1. 17Danilo Veiga
  2. 25A. Gallo
  3. 5J. Siebert
  4. 44Tiago Gabriel
  1. 30W. Falcone

Inter

3-5-2
  1. 9M. Thuram
  2. 94F. Esposito
  1. 32F. Dimarco
  2. 17A. Diouf
  3. 20H. Çalhanoğlu
  4. 22H. Mkhitaryan
  5. 23N. Barella
  1. 31Y. Bisseck
  2. 30Carlos Augusto
  3. 95A. Bastoni
  1. 1Josep Martínez

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:29 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lecce have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Inter have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lecce
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Bologna(home)1-2Serie A
Sep 20, 2026AC Milan(away)0-3Serie A
Sep 13, 2026Monza(home)3-2Serie A
Sep 7, 2026Cagliari(away)0-1Serie A
Aug 31, 2026AS Roma(home)0-4Serie A
Inter
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Club Brugge KV(home)3-4UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026Parma(home)3-0Serie A
Oct 3, 2026Lumezzane(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026AS Roma(away)2-2Serie A
Sep 14, 2026Udinese(home)5-3Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lecce wins, 0 draws, 6 Inter wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Lecce 0-2 InterSerie A
Jan 14, 2026Inter 1-0 LecceSerie A
Jan 26, 2025Lecce 0-4 InterSerie A
Aug 24, 2024Inter 2-0 LecceSerie A
Feb 25, 2024Lecce 0-4 InterSerie A
Dec 23, 2023Inter 2-0 LecceSerie A

Last archived meeting: Lecce vs Inter on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lecce score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Inter score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lecce1.31.545/157/15
Inter2.31.4411/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lecce sit 13th in Serie A (6 points from 6 matches) and Inter sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Inter651018816
13Lecce62046126

A question about Lecce vs Inter?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lecce vs Inter?
The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Lecce.
Where and when is Lecce vs Inter played?
Lecce vs Inter is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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