Match

Treviso vs Lecco: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 2Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Omobono Tenni, Treviso

TrevisoLecco

The Footlab model makes Treviso the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Lecco. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Treviso vs Lecco?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Treviso (1,814) and Lecco (1,791).

Treviso win42 %
Draw29 %
Lecco win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Treviso have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Lecco have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Treviso
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Trento(away)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(away)0-1Coppa Italia Serie C
May 13, 2026Folgore Caratese(away)0-2Serie D - Championship Round
May 10, 2026Vado(home)3-3Serie D - Championship Round
May 3, 2026Mestre(away)0-1Serie D - Girone C
Lecco
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Arzignano Valchiampo(home)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026Desenzano Calvina(home)0-0Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 8, 2026Atalanta II(home)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 2, 2026Hellas Verona(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
May 20, 2026Catania(away)3-3Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs

How many goals should we expect?

Treviso score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lecco score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Treviso1.01.537/156/15
Lecco1.31.358/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Treviso sit 12th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Lecco sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Lecco1010001
12Treviso1001120

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Treviso vs Lecco?
The Footlab model makes Treviso the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Lecco.
Where and when is Treviso vs Lecco played?
Treviso vs Lecco is played on August 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Omobono Tenni, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Treviso and Lecco

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