Where and when is Gedania Gdansk vs Polonia Środa played?

Gedania Gdansk vs Polonia Środa is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gedania Gdansk vs Polonia Środa: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, Gdańsk

Gedania Gdansk

Polonia Środa

The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Gedania Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gedania Gdansk vs Polonia Środa?

Polonia Środa starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,668).

Gedania Gdansk win20 %

Draw20 %

Polonia Środa win60 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gedania Gdansk have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Polonia Środa have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gedania Gdansk
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	5-3	III Liga - Group 2

Polonia Środa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński(home)	4-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 7, 2026	Victoria Września(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gedania Gdansk win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Polonia Środa win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2025	Polonia Środa 0-4 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2
Oct 12, 2024	Gedania Gdansk 3-2 Polonia Środa	III Liga - Group 2
Nov 25, 2023	Polonia Środa 2-1 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 5, 2023	Gedania Gdansk 2-3 Polonia Środa	III Liga - Group 2
Jun 9, 2023	Polonia Środa 4-2 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2
Nov 12, 2022	Gedania Gdansk 1-3 Polonia Środa	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Polonia Środa vs Gedania Gdansk on May 10, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Gedania Gdansk score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Środa score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gedania Gdansk	1.5	2.3	1	8/15	10/15
Polonia Środa	1.9	1.2	4	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gedania Gdansk sit 10th in III Liga - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Środa sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	5	5	0	0	15	4	15
10	Gedania Gdansk	5	1	3	1	12	11	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gedania Gdansk vs Polonia Środa?: The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Gedania Gdansk.
Where and when is Gedania Gdansk vs Polonia Środa played?: Gedania Gdansk vs Polonia Środa is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.