Grom Nowy Staw vs Lech Poznań II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski OSiR Nowy Staw, Nowy Staw
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Grom Nowy Staw. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grom Nowy Staw vs Lech Poznań II?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Grom Nowy Staw (1,695) and Lech Poznań II (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Grom Nowy Staw have 2 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Lech Poznań II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wda Świecie(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Elana Toruń(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Grom Nowy Staw score 2.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 8; Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grom Nowy Staw | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
| Lech Poznań II | 2.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grom Nowy Staw sit 14th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Lech Poznań II sit 6th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lech Poznań II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | Grom Nowy Staw | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grom Nowy Staw vs Lech Poznań II?
- The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Grom Nowy Staw.
- Where and when is Grom Nowy Staw vs Lech Poznań II played?
- Grom Nowy Staw vs Lech Poznań II is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski OSiR Nowy Staw, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Chemik BydgoszczvsKotwica Kórnik
- Mar 20, 2027Elana ToruńvsKalisz
- Mar 20, 2027Stargard SzczecińskivsFlota Świnoujście
- Mar 20, 2027Unia SwarzędzvsKluczevia Stargard
- Mar 20, 2027Gedania GdanskvsPolonia Środa
- Mar 20, 2027Victoria WrześniavsBałtyk Koszalin
- Mar 20, 2027Noteć CzarnkówvsWda Świecie
- Mar 20, 2027Lipno StęszewvsLuzino