Match

Kluczevia Stargard vs Lech Poznań II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, Stargard

Kluczevia StargardLech Poznań II

The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Lech Poznań II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kluczevia Stargard vs Lech Poznań II?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Kluczevia Stargard (1,773) and Lech Poznań II (1,779).

Kluczevia Stargard win44 %
Draw23 %
Lech Poznań II win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kluczevia Stargard have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Lech Poznań II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kluczevia Stargard
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(away)4-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Gedania Gdansk(home)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Lipno Stęszew(away)4-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(home)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)3-3III Liga - Group 2
Lech Poznań II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Gedania Gdansk(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Lipno Stęszew(home)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)2-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Victoria Września(away)5-2III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kluczevia Stargard win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Lech Poznań II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026Kluczevia Stargard 1-0 Lech Poznań IIIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 22, 2025Lech Poznań II 2-1 Kluczevia StargardIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Kluczevia Stargard vs Lech Poznań II on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kluczevia Stargard2.11.7212/1514/15
Lech Poznań II2.11.9311/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Lech Poznań II sit 6th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Kluczevia Stargard5320151011
6Lech Poznań II531112910

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kluczevia Stargard vs Lech Poznań II?
The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Lech Poznań II.
Where and when is Kluczevia Stargard vs Lech Poznań II played?
Kluczevia Stargard vs Lech Poznań II is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Kluczevia Stargard and Lech Poznań II

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