Where and when is Kotwica Kórnik vs Lech Poznań II played?

Kotwica Kórnik vs Lech Poznań II is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kotwica Kórnik vs Lech Poznań II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Kotwica Kórnik

Lech Poznań II

The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kotwica Kórnik vs Lech Poznań II?

Lech Poznań II starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,779 vs 1,634).

Kotwica Kórnik win23 %

Draw20 %

Lech Poznań II win57 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kotwica Kórnik have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Lech Poznań II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kotwica Kórnik
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Victoria Września(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Kalisz(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Luzino(home)	2-6	III Liga - Group 2

Lech Poznań II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Victoria Września(away)	5-2	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kotwica Kórnik win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Lech Poznań II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 2, 2025	Kotwica Kórnik 2-0 Lech Poznań II	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 10, 2024	Lech Poznań II 1-1 Kotwica Kórnik	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Kotwica Kórnik vs Lech Poznań II on Mar 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kotwica Kórnik	1.1	2.1	1	9/15	9/15
Lech Poznań II	2.1	1.9	3	11/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th in III Liga - Group 2 (1 points from 5 matches) and Lech Poznań II sit 6th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Lech Poznań II	5	3	1	1	12	9	10
18	Kotwica Kórnik	5	0	1	4	4	12	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kotwica Kórnik vs Lech Poznań II?: The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Kotwica Kórnik.
Where and when is Kotwica Kórnik vs Lech Poznań II played?: Kotwica Kórnik vs Lech Poznań II is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.