Where and when is Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan played?

Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan is played on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź, Łódź

Widzew Łódź

Lech Poznan

The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Widzew Łódź. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan?

Lech Poznan starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (2,126 vs 1,962).

Widzew Łódź win23 %

Draw25 %

Lech Poznan win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Widzew Łódź have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lech Poznan have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Widzew Łódź
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Korona Kielce(home)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026	Jagiellonia(away)	2-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026	Wisla Plock(away)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026	Motor Lublin(home)	2-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 19, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

Lech Poznan
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	KI Klaksvik(away)	5-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026	Piast Gliwice(home)	3-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026	KI Klaksvik(home)	1-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 1, 2026	Wieczysta Kraków(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 29, 2026	Aarhus(home)	0-3	UEFA Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Widzew Łódź win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Lech Poznan win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 7, 2026	Widzew Łódź 2-1 Lech Poznan	Ekstraklasa
Aug 31, 2025	Lech Poznan 2-1 Widzew Łódź	Ekstraklasa
Jan 31, 2025	Lech Poznan 4-1 Widzew Łódź	Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2024	Widzew Łódź 2-1 Lech Poznan	Ekstraklasa
May 19, 2024	Widzew Łódź 1-1 Lech Poznan	Ekstraklasa
Nov 26, 2023	Lech Poznan 1-3 Widzew Łódź	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Widzew Łódź score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lech Poznan score 2.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Widzew Łódź	1.4	0.7	7	6/15	6/15
Lech Poznan	2.4	0.7	7	7/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Widzew Łódź sit 8th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 4 matches) and Lech Poznan sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	5	1	7
8	Widzew Łódź	4	1	2	1	5	4	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan?: The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Widzew Łódź.
Where and when is Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan played?: Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan is played on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.