Match

ŁKS Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz, Łódź

ŁKS ŁódźLechia Gdansk

The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Lechia Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win ŁKS Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate ŁKS Łódź (1,898) and Lechia Gdansk (1,850).

ŁKS Łódź win47 %
Draw25 %
Lechia Gdansk win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ŁKS Łódź have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lechia Gdansk have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

ŁKS Łódź
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Stal Mielec(home)4-0I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Nieciecza(home)2-1I Liga
Aug 9, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)1-2I Liga
Jul 31, 2026Polonia Bytom(home)2-1I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(away)1-1I Liga
Lechia Gdansk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(home)1-0I Liga
Aug 14, 2026Ruch Chorzów(away)0-1I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Podbeskidzie(away)2-2I Liga
Jul 31, 2026Warta Poznań(home)0-3I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)0-3I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 ŁKS Łódź win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lechia Gdansk win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 23, 2019Lechia Gdansk 3-1 ŁKS ŁódźEkstraklasa
Jul 19, 2019ŁKS Łódź 0-0 Lechia GdanskEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Lechia Gdansk vs ŁKS Łódź on Nov 23, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

ŁKS Łódź score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia Gdansk score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
ŁKS Łódź1.91.3211/1512/15
Lechia Gdansk1.12.119/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

ŁKS Łódź sit 3rd in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Lechia Gdansk sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3ŁKS Łódź531110510
16Lechia Gdansk5113394

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for ŁKS Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk?
The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Lechia Gdansk.
Where and when is ŁKS Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk played?
ŁKS Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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