ŁKS Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz, Łódź
The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Lechia Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ŁKS Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate ŁKS Łódź (1,898) and Lechia Gdansk (1,850).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ŁKS Łódź have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lechia Gdansk have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stal Mielec(home) | 4-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(home) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 ŁKS Łódź win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lechia Gdansk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2019 | Lechia Gdansk 3-1 ŁKS Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 19, 2019 | ŁKS Łódź 0-0 Lechia Gdansk | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Lechia Gdansk vs ŁKS Łódź on Nov 23, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
ŁKS Łódź score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia Gdansk score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ŁKS Łódź | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Lechia Gdansk | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ŁKS Łódź sit 3rd in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Lechia Gdansk sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ŁKS Łódź | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ŁKS Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk?
- The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Lechia Gdansk.
- Where and when is ŁKS Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk played?
- ŁKS Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Miedz LegnicavsPolonia Bytom
- Nov 28, 2026Arka GdyniavsRuch Chorzów
- Nov 28, 2026Chrobry GłogówvsUnia Skierniewice
- Nov 28, 2026NiecieczavsStal Rzeszów
- Nov 28, 2026Odra OpolevsPolonia Warszawa
- Nov 28, 2026PodbeskidzievsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Nov 28, 2026Puszcza NiepołomicevsStal Mielec
- Nov 28, 2026Warta PoznańvsPogoń Siedlce