Miedz Legnica vs Polonia Bytom: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Orła Białego, Legnica
The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Polonia Bytom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Miedz Legnica vs Polonia Bytom?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Miedz Legnica (1,898) and Polonia Bytom (1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Miedz Legnica have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Polonia Bytom have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(away) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 2-5 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 4-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Miedz Legnica win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Polonia Bytom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Miedz Legnica 1-1 Polonia Bytom | I Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Polonia Bytom 4-0 Miedz Legnica | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Miedz Legnica vs Polonia Bytom on Apr 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Miedz Legnica score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miedz Legnica | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Polonia Bytom | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Miedz Legnica sit 2nd in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Bytom sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Miedz Legnica | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 15 | Polonia Bytom | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Miedz Legnica vs Polonia Bytom?
- The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Polonia Bytom.
- Where and when is Miedz Legnica vs Polonia Bytom played?
- Miedz Legnica vs Polonia Bytom is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Orła Białego, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Arka GdyniavsRuch Chorzów
- Nov 28, 2026Chrobry GłogówvsUnia Skierniewice
- Nov 28, 2026NiecieczavsStal Rzeszów
- Nov 28, 2026Odra OpolevsPolonia Warszawa
- Nov 28, 2026PodbeskidzievsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Nov 28, 2026Puszcza NiepołomicevsStal Mielec
- Nov 28, 2026Warta PoznańvsPogoń Siedlce
- Nov 28, 2026ŁKS ŁódźvsLechia Gdansk