Lechia Gdansk vs Podbeskidzie: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk, Gdańsk
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Lechia Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lechia Gdansk vs Podbeskidzie?
Podbeskidzie starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,952 vs 1,850).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia Gdansk have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Podbeskidzie have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 3-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Lechia Gdansk win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Podbeskidzie win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Podbeskidzie 2-2 Lechia Gdansk | I Liga |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Podbeskidzie 1-2 Lechia Gdansk | I Liga |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Lechia Gdansk 3-0 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Podbeskidzie 2-2 Lechia Gdansk | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Lechia Gdansk 4-0 Podbeskidzie | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Podbeskidzie vs Lechia Gdansk on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lechia Gdansk score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia Gdansk | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Podbeskidzie | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lechia Gdansk sit 16th in I Liga (4 points from 5 matches) and Podbeskidzie sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lechia Gdansk vs Podbeskidzie?
- The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Lechia Gdansk.
- Where and when is Lechia Gdansk vs Podbeskidzie played?
- Lechia Gdansk vs Podbeskidzie is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027Arka GdyniavsUnia Skierniewice
- Feb 13, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsŁKS Łódź
- Feb 13, 2027Odra OpolevsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Feb 13, 2027Stal MielecvsStal Rzeszów
- Feb 13, 2027Warta PoznańvsNieciecza
- Feb 13, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsPolonia Bytom
- Feb 13, 2027Ruch ChorzówvsPolonia Warszawa
- Feb 13, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsMiedz Legnica