Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszów: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, Mielec
The Footlab model makes Stal Mielec the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Stal Rzeszów. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszów?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Stal Mielec (1,821) and Stal Rzeszów (1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Mielec have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Stal Rzeszów have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 0-4 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(home) | 5-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 3-3 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-4 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 1-5 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stal Mielec win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Stal Rzeszów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stal Mielec 1-1 Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Stal Mielec 3-1 Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Stal Rzeszów 3-2 Stal Mielec | I Liga |
| Jul 12, 2024 | Stal Mielec 5-0 Stal Rzeszów | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Stal Mielec 3-2 Stal Rzeszów | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Stal Mielec 1-1 Stal Rzeszów | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszów on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stal Mielec score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Mielec | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Stal Rzeszów | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stal Mielec sit 7th in I Liga (8 points from 5 matches) and Stal Rzeszów sit 18th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Stal Mielec | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszów | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszów?
- The Footlab model makes Stal Mielec the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Stal Rzeszów.
- Where and when is Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszów played?
- Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszów is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027Lechia GdanskvsPodbeskidzie
- Feb 13, 2027Arka GdyniavsUnia Skierniewice
- Feb 13, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsŁKS Łódź
- Feb 13, 2027Odra OpolevsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Feb 13, 2027Warta PoznańvsNieciecza
- Feb 13, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsPolonia Bytom
- Feb 13, 2027Ruch ChorzówvsPolonia Warszawa
- Feb 13, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsMiedz Legnica