Match

Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Bytom: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce

Pogoń SiedlcePolonia Bytom

The Footlab model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Bytom?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Pogoń Siedlce (1,759) and Polonia Bytom (1,842).

Pogoń Siedlce win33 %
Draw25 %
Polonia Bytom win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń Siedlce have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Polonia Bytom have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogoń Siedlce
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Lechia Gdansk(away)0-1I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Polonia Warszawa(home)1-0I Liga
Aug 7, 2026Polonia Bytom(away)2-2I Liga
Aug 1, 2026Nieciecza(home)1-2I Liga
Jul 25, 2026ŁKS Łódź(home)1-1I Liga
Polonia Bytom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)2-2I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Stal Mielec(away)2-5I Liga
Aug 7, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(home)2-2I Liga
Jul 31, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)1-2I Liga
Jul 24, 2026Warta Poznań(home)4-3I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Pogoń Siedlce win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Polonia Bytom win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 7, 2026Polonia Bytom 2-2 Pogoń SiedlceI Liga
Feb 22, 2026Polonia Bytom 1-1 Pogoń SiedlceI Liga
Aug 17, 2025Pogoń Siedlce 2-0 Polonia BytomI Liga
Mar 17, 2024Pogoń Siedlce 3-3 Polonia BytomII Liga - East
Sep 2, 2023Polonia Bytom 1-1 Pogoń SiedlceII Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce on Aug 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pogoń Siedlce1.11.838/159/15
Polonia Bytom2.12.3213/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Bytom sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Pogoń Siedlce5122565
15Polonia Bytom512211145

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Bytom?
The Footlab model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Pogoń Siedlce.
Where and when is Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Bytom played?
Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Bytom is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ROSRRiT, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pogoń Siedlce and Polonia Bytom

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