Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Bytom: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce
The Footlab model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Bytom?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Pogoń Siedlce (1,759) and Polonia Bytom (1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń Siedlce have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Polonia Bytom have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(away) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 2-5 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 4-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Pogoń Siedlce win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Polonia Bytom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Bytom 2-2 Pogoń Siedlce | I Liga |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Polonia Bytom 1-1 Pogoń Siedlce | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Pogoń Siedlce 2-0 Polonia Bytom | I Liga |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Pogoń Siedlce 3-3 Polonia Bytom | II Liga - East |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Polonia Bytom 1-1 Pogoń Siedlce | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogoń Siedlce | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Polonia Bytom | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Bytom sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pogoń Siedlce | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Polonia Bytom | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Bytom?
- The Footlab model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Pogoń Siedlce.
- Where and when is Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Bytom played?
- Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Bytom is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ROSRRiT, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027Lechia GdanskvsPodbeskidzie
- Feb 13, 2027Arka GdyniavsUnia Skierniewice
- Feb 13, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsŁKS Łódź
- Feb 13, 2027Odra OpolevsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Feb 13, 2027Stal MielecvsStal Rzeszów
- Feb 13, 2027Warta PoznańvsNieciecza
- Feb 13, 2027Ruch ChorzówvsPolonia Warszawa
- Feb 13, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsMiedz Legnica