Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Warszawa played?

Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Warszawa is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Warszawa: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice

Ruch Chorzów

Polonia Warszawa

The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Polonia Warszawa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Warszawa?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Ruch Chorzów (1,862) and Polonia Warszawa (1,886).

Ruch Chorzów win38 %

Draw27 %

Polonia Warszawa win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruch Chorzów have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Polonia Warszawa have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ruch Chorzów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Miedz Legnica(home)	0-2	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Nieciecza(away)	0-2	I Liga

Polonia Warszawa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Nieciecza(away)	3-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Ruch Chorzów(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(home)	3-1	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(away)	1-0	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Ruch Chorzów win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Polonia Warszawa win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Warszawa 1-1 Ruch Chorzów	I Liga
Feb 21, 2026	Ruch Chorzów 2-3 Polonia Warszawa	I Liga
Aug 15, 2025	Polonia Warszawa 0-0 Ruch Chorzów	I Liga
May 25, 2025	Ruch Chorzów 1-1 Polonia Warszawa	I Liga
Nov 24, 2024	Polonia Warszawa 1-0 Ruch Chorzów	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzów on Aug 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Warszawa score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ruch Chorzów	1.2	1.2	5	6/15	5/15
Polonia Warszawa	1.5	1.7	1	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ruch Chorzów sit 10th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Warszawa sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Polonia Warszawa	5	3	1	1	8	4	10
10	Ruch Chorzów	5	2	1	2	3	5	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Warszawa?: The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Polonia Warszawa.
Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Warszawa played?: Ruch Chorzów vs Polonia Warszawa is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.