Warta Poznań vs Nieciecza: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Enea Stadion, Poznań
The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Nieciecza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warta Poznań vs Nieciecza?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Warta Poznań (1,884) and Nieciecza (1,871).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Poznań have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Nieciecza have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Odra Opole(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Warta Poznań win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Nieciecza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nieciecza 1-2 Warta Poznań | I Liga |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Warta Poznań 0-1 Nieciecza | I Liga |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Nieciecza 3-0 Warta Poznań | I Liga |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Nieciecza 1-0 Warta Poznań | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Warta Poznań 0-0 Nieciecza | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 28, 2020 | Warta Poznań 1-0 Nieciecza | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Nieciecza vs Warta Poznań on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Poznań | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Nieciecza | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warta Poznań sit 6th in I Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and Nieciecza sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warta Poznań | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Nieciecza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warta Poznań vs Nieciecza?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Nieciecza.
- Where and when is Warta Poznań vs Nieciecza played?
- Warta Poznań vs Nieciecza is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027Lechia GdanskvsPodbeskidzie
- Feb 13, 2027Arka GdyniavsUnia Skierniewice
- Feb 13, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsŁKS Łódź
- Feb 13, 2027Odra OpolevsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Feb 13, 2027Stal MielecvsStal Rzeszów
- Feb 13, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsPolonia Bytom
- Feb 13, 2027Ruch ChorzówvsPolonia Warszawa
- Feb 13, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsMiedz Legnica