Match

Warta Poznań vs Nieciecza: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Enea Stadion, Poznań

Warta PoznańNieciecza

The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Nieciecza. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Warta Poznań vs Nieciecza?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Warta Poznań (1,884) and Nieciecza (1,871).

Warta Poznań win43 %
Draw25 %
Nieciecza win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Poznań have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Nieciecza have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Warta Poznań
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Chrobry Głogów(away)1-0I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Odra Opole(away)1-3I Liga
Aug 9, 2026Nieciecza(away)2-1I Liga
Aug 5, 2026Resovia Rzeszów(home)0-1Cup
Jul 31, 2026Lechia Gdansk(away)3-0I Liga
Nieciecza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Polonia Warszawa(home)1-3I Liga
Aug 16, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)1-2I Liga
Aug 9, 2026Warta Poznań(home)1-2I Liga
Aug 1, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(away)2-1I Liga
Jul 27, 2026Nea Salamis(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Warta Poznań win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Nieciecza win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 9, 2026Nieciecza 1-2 Warta PoznańI Liga
Dec 1, 2024Warta Poznań 0-1 NiecieczaI Liga
Jul 20, 2024Nieciecza 3-0 Warta PoznańI Liga
Mar 5, 2022Nieciecza 1-0 Warta PoznańEkstraklasa
Sep 11, 2021Warta Poznań 0-0 NiecieczaEkstraklasa
Jul 28, 2020Warta Poznań 1-0 NiecieczaI Liga

Last archived meeting: Nieciecza vs Warta Poznań on Aug 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Warta Poznań1.71.659/1510/15
Nieciecza2.11.6410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Warta Poznań sit 6th in I Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and Nieciecza sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Warta Poznań53021089
11Nieciecza5203786

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Warta Poznań vs Nieciecza?
The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Nieciecza.
Where and when is Warta Poznań vs Nieciecza played?
Warta Poznań vs Nieciecza is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Warta Poznań and Nieciecza

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