Arka Gdynia vs Unia Skierniewice: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gdynia
The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Unia Skierniewice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Unia Skierniewice?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Arka Gdynia (1,900) and Unia Skierniewice (1,912).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arka Gdynia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Unia Skierniewice have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(home) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(home) | 4-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Odra Opole(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Arka Gdynia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Unia Skierniewice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice 2-0 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Unia Skierniewice vs Arka Gdynia on Aug 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arka Gdynia score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arka Gdynia | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Unia Skierniewice | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arka Gdynia sit 5th in I Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and Unia Skierniewice sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arka Gdynia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 12 | Unia Skierniewice | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arka Gdynia vs Unia Skierniewice?
- The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Unia Skierniewice.
- Where and when is Arka Gdynia vs Unia Skierniewice played?
- Arka Gdynia vs Unia Skierniewice is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027Lechia GdanskvsPodbeskidzie
- Feb 13, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsŁKS Łódź
- Feb 13, 2027Odra OpolevsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Feb 13, 2027Stal MielecvsStal Rzeszów
- Feb 13, 2027Warta PoznańvsNieciecza
- Feb 13, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsPolonia Bytom
- Feb 13, 2027Ruch ChorzówvsPolonia Warszawa
- Feb 13, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsMiedz Legnica