Match

Arka Gdynia vs Unia Skierniewice: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gdynia

Arka GdyniaUnia Skierniewice

The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Unia Skierniewice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Unia Skierniewice?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Arka Gdynia (1,900) and Unia Skierniewice (1,912).

Arka Gdynia win41 %
Draw26 %
Unia Skierniewice win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arka Gdynia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Unia Skierniewice have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arka Gdynia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Miedz Legnica(away)0-2I Liga
Aug 17, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(home)3-0I Liga
Aug 10, 2026Unia Skierniewice(away)0-2I Liga
Aug 1, 2026Stal Rzeszów(home)4-0I Liga
Jul 24, 2026Odra Opole(away)1-0I Liga
Unia Skierniewice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(away)1-0I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Miedz Legnica(home)0-3I Liga
Aug 10, 2026Arka Gdynia(home)2-0I Liga
Aug 5, 2026Sokół Kleczew(home)2-2Cup
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Warszawa(away)1-3I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Arka Gdynia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Unia Skierniewice win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 10, 2026Unia Skierniewice 2-0 Arka GdyniaI Liga

Last archived meeting: Unia Skierniewice vs Arka Gdynia on Aug 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arka Gdynia score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arka Gdynia1.21.564/157/15
Unia Skierniewice1.71.358/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arka Gdynia sit 5th in I Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and Unia Skierniewice sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Arka Gdynia5302849
12Unia Skierniewice5203586

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arka Gdynia vs Unia Skierniewice?
The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Unia Skierniewice.
Where and when is Arka Gdynia vs Unia Skierniewice played?
Arka Gdynia vs Unia Skierniewice is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Arka Gdynia and Unia Skierniewice

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