Match

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Miedz Legnica: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Znicza (MZOS), Pruszków

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiMiedz Legnica

The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Miedz Legnica?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (1,835) and Miedz Legnica (1,898).

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win31 %
Draw27 %
Miedz Legnica win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Miedz Legnica have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Polonia Bytom(away)2-2I Liga
Aug 14, 2026Stal Rzeszów(home)1-1I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Miedz Legnica(away)1-0I Liga
Aug 2, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(home)1-0I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Lechia Gdansk(away)3-0I Liga
Miedz Legnica
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Arka Gdynia(home)2-0I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Unia Skierniewice(away)3-0I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)0-1I Liga
Aug 2, 2026Ruch Chorzów(away)2-0I Liga
Jul 27, 2026Podbeskidzie(home)1-1I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Miedz Legnica win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Miedz Legnica 0-1 Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiI Liga
Feb 7, 2026Miedz Legnica 1-1 Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiI Liga
Aug 2, 2025Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 4-0 Miedz LegnicaI Liga

Last archived meeting: Miedz Legnica vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Miedz Legnica score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1.11.268/157/15
Miedz Legnica1.31.166/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki sit 1st in I Liga (11 points from 5 matches) and Miedz Legnica sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki53208311
2Miedz Legnica53118210

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Miedz Legnica?
The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
Where and when is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Miedz Legnica played?
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Miedz Legnica is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Znicza (MZOS), in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and Miedz Legnica

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