Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Miedz Legnica: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Znicza (MZOS), Pruszków
The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Miedz Legnica?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (1,835) and Miedz Legnica (1,898).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Miedz Legnica have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(away) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(away) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Miedz Legnica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Miedz Legnica 0-1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | I Liga |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Miedz Legnica 1-1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 4-0 Miedz Legnica | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Miedz Legnica vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Miedz Legnica score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Miedz Legnica | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki sit 1st in I Liga (11 points from 5 matches) and Miedz Legnica sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Miedz Legnica | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Miedz Legnica?
- The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
- Where and when is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Miedz Legnica played?
- Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Miedz Legnica is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Znicza (MZOS), in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027Lechia GdanskvsPodbeskidzie
- Feb 13, 2027Arka GdyniavsUnia Skierniewice
- Feb 13, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsŁKS Łódź
- Feb 13, 2027Odra OpolevsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Feb 13, 2027Stal MielecvsStal Rzeszów
- Feb 13, 2027Warta PoznańvsNieciecza
- Feb 13, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsPolonia Bytom
- Feb 13, 2027Ruch ChorzówvsPolonia Warszawa