Lechia Gdansk vs Unia Skierniewice: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk, Gdańsk
The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Lechia Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lechia Gdansk vs Unia Skierniewice?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Lechia Gdansk (1,850) and Unia Skierniewice (1,912).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia Gdansk have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Unia Skierniewice have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Lechia Gdansk score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia Gdansk | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Unia Skierniewice | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lechia Gdansk sit 16th in I Liga (4 points from 5 matches) and Unia Skierniewice sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Unia Skierniewice | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lechia Gdansk vs Unia Skierniewice?
- The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Lechia Gdansk.
- Where and when is Lechia Gdansk vs Unia Skierniewice played?
- Lechia Gdansk vs Unia Skierniewice is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Miedz LegnicavsNieciecza
- Oct 31, 2026Chrobry GłogówvsArka Gdynia
- Oct 31, 2026PodbeskidzievsWarta Poznań
- Oct 31, 2026ŁKS ŁódźvsPolonia Warszawa
- Oct 31, 2026Ruch ChorzówvsPogoń Siedlce
- Oct 31, 2026Stal RzeszówvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Oct 31, 2026Polonia BytomvsOdra Opole
- Oct 31, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsStal Mielec