Miedz Legnica vs Nieciecza: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Orła Białego, Legnica
The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Nieciecza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Miedz Legnica vs Nieciecza?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Miedz Legnica (1,898) and Nieciecza (1,871).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Miedz Legnica have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Nieciecza have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(away) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Miedz Legnica win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Nieciecza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2025 | Miedz Legnica 1-4 Nieciecza | I Liga |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Nieciecza 1-1 Miedz Legnica | I Liga |
| Dec 18, 2023 | Miedz Legnica 2-2 Nieciecza | I Liga |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Nieciecza 1-4 Miedz Legnica | I Liga |
| May 8, 2021 | Nieciecza 0-2 Miedz Legnica | I Liga |
| Nov 15, 2020 | Miedz Legnica 2-3 Nieciecza | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Miedz Legnica vs Nieciecza on May 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Miedz Legnica score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miedz Legnica | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Nieciecza | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Miedz Legnica sit 2nd in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Nieciecza sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Miedz Legnica | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Nieciecza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Miedz Legnica vs Nieciecza?
- The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Nieciecza.
- Where and when is Miedz Legnica vs Nieciecza played?
- Miedz Legnica vs Nieciecza is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Orła Białego, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Lechia GdanskvsUnia Skierniewice
- Oct 31, 2026Chrobry GłogówvsArka Gdynia
- Oct 31, 2026PodbeskidzievsWarta Poznań
- Oct 31, 2026ŁKS ŁódźvsPolonia Warszawa
- Oct 31, 2026Ruch ChorzówvsPogoń Siedlce
- Oct 31, 2026Stal RzeszówvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Oct 31, 2026Polonia BytomvsOdra Opole
- Oct 31, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsStal Mielec