ŁKS Łódź vs Polonia Warszawa: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz, Łódź
The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Polonia Warszawa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ŁKS Łódź vs Polonia Warszawa?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate ŁKS Łódź (1,898) and Polonia Warszawa (1,886).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ŁKS Łódź have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Polonia Warszawa have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stal Mielec(home) | 4-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(home) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 ŁKS Łódź win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Polonia Warszawa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa 0-1 ŁKS Łódź | I Liga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | ŁKS Łódź 2-2 Polonia Warszawa | I Liga |
| May 17, 2025 | Polonia Warszawa 0-1 ŁKS Łódź | I Liga |
| Nov 8, 2024 | ŁKS Łódź 0-0 Polonia Warszawa | I Liga |
| Nov 17, 2023 | ŁKS Łódź 2-0 Polonia Warszawa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2023 | ŁKS Łódź 6-2 Polonia Warszawa | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Polonia Warszawa vs ŁKS Łódź on Mar 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ŁKS Łódź score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Warszawa score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ŁKS Łódź | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Polonia Warszawa | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ŁKS Łódź sit 3rd in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Warszawa sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ŁKS Łódź | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Polonia Warszawa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ŁKS Łódź vs Polonia Warszawa?
- The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Polonia Warszawa.
- Where and when is ŁKS Łódź vs Polonia Warszawa played?
- ŁKS Łódź vs Polonia Warszawa is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Miedz LegnicavsNieciecza
- Oct 31, 2026Lechia GdanskvsUnia Skierniewice
- Oct 31, 2026Chrobry GłogówvsArka Gdynia
- Oct 31, 2026PodbeskidzievsWarta Poznań
- Oct 31, 2026Ruch ChorzówvsPogoń Siedlce
- Oct 31, 2026Stal RzeszówvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Oct 31, 2026Polonia BytomvsOdra Opole
- Oct 31, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsStal Mielec