Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion GOS, Głogów
The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Arka Gdynia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Chrobry Głogów (1,855) and Arka Gdynia (1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chrobry Głogów have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Arka Gdynia have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 5-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(home) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(home) | 4-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Odra Opole(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chrobry Głogów win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Arka Gdynia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Chrobry Głogów 2-2 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Arka Gdynia 2-0 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Arka Gdynia 2-1 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Chrobry Głogów 1-0 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| Apr 21, 2023 | Chrobry Głogów 0-3 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| Sep 16, 2022 | Arka Gdynia 3-4 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia on Apr 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Chrobry Głogów score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Arka Gdynia score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chrobry Głogów | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Arka Gdynia | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chrobry Głogów sit 8th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Arka Gdynia sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arka Gdynia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Chrobry Głogów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia?
- The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Arka Gdynia.
- Where and when is Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia played?
- Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion GOS, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Miedz LegnicavsNieciecza
- Oct 31, 2026Lechia GdanskvsUnia Skierniewice
- Oct 31, 2026PodbeskidzievsWarta Poznań
- Oct 31, 2026ŁKS ŁódźvsPolonia Warszawa
- Oct 31, 2026Ruch ChorzówvsPogoń Siedlce
- Oct 31, 2026Stal RzeszówvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Oct 31, 2026Polonia BytomvsOdra Opole
- Oct 31, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsStal Mielec