Podbeskidzie vs Warta Poznań: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Bielsko-Biała
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Warta Poznań. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Podbeskidzie vs Warta Poznań?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Podbeskidzie (1,952) and Warta Poznań (1,884).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podbeskidzie have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Warta Poznań have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 3-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Odra Opole(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Podbeskidzie win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Warta Poznań win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Warta Poznań 1-2 Podbeskidzie | II Liga - East |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Podbeskidzie 2-3 Warta Poznań | II Liga - East |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Warta Poznań 2-0 Podbeskidzie | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 19, 2020 | Podbeskidzie 1-2 Warta Poznań | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 9, 2020 | Podbeskidzie 2-0 Warta Poznań | I Liga |
| Aug 21, 2019 | Warta Poznań 2-1 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Warta Poznań vs Podbeskidzie on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podbeskidzie | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Warta Poznań | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Podbeskidzie sit 13th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Warta Poznań sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warta Poznań | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Podbeskidzie vs Warta Poznań?
- The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Warta Poznań.
- Where and when is Podbeskidzie vs Warta Poznań played?
- Podbeskidzie vs Warta Poznań is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Miedz LegnicavsNieciecza
- Oct 31, 2026Lechia GdanskvsUnia Skierniewice
- Oct 31, 2026Chrobry GłogówvsArka Gdynia
- Oct 31, 2026ŁKS ŁódźvsPolonia Warszawa
- Oct 31, 2026Ruch ChorzówvsPogoń Siedlce
- Oct 31, 2026Stal RzeszówvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Oct 31, 2026Polonia BytomvsOdra Opole
- Oct 31, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsStal Mielec