Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Mławianka Mława: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Braci Gadajów, Tomaszów Mazowiecki
The Footlab model makes Lechia T. Mazowiecki the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Mławianka Mława. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Mławianka Mława?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Lechia T. Mazowiecki (1,757) and Mławianka Mława (1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia T. Mazowiecki have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Mławianka Mława have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Mławianka Mława win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mławianka Mława 2-3 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 24, 2026 | Mławianka Mława 3-1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-3 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 21, 2025 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 3-3 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Mławianka Mława 2-0 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Mławianka Mława 2-1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Mławianka Mława vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lechia T. Mazowiecki score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mławianka Mława score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Mławianka Mława | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 5th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Mławianka Mława sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
| 14 | Mławianka Mława | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Mławianka Mława?
- The Footlab model makes Lechia T. Mazowiecki the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Mławianka Mława.
- Where and when is Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Mławianka Mława played?
- Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Mławianka Mława is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Braci Gadajów, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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