Wigry Suwałki vs Ząbkovia Ząbki: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Suwałki
The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Ząbkovia Ząbki. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wigry Suwałki vs Ząbkovia Ząbki?
Wigry Suwałki starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,700).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigry Suwałki have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Ząbkovia Ząbki have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Wigry Suwałki win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ząbkovia Ząbki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki 1-1 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Ząbkovia Ząbki 0-1 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Wigry Suwałki 1-2 Ząbkovia Ząbki | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Wigry Suwałki on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ząbkovia Ząbki score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigry Suwałki | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Ząbkovia Ząbki | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wigry Suwałki sit 7th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 4 matches) and Ząbkovia Ząbki sit 13th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wigry Suwałki | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 13 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wigry Suwałki vs Ząbkovia Ząbki?
- The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Ząbkovia Ząbki.
- Where and when is Wigry Suwałki vs Ząbkovia Ząbki played?
- Wigry Suwałki vs Ząbkovia Ząbki is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Mar 6, 2027Pelikan ŁowiczvsJagiellonia II
- Mar 6, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsMławianka Mława
- Mar 6, 2027Warta SieradzvsTroszyn
- Mar 6, 2027ŁomżavsWisła Płock II
- Mar 6, 2027Widzew IIvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Mar 6, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsSwit
- Mar 6, 2027WeszlovsŁKS Łódź II