Warta Sieradz vs Troszyn: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Sieradz
The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Troszyn. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warta Sieradz vs Troszyn?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Warta Sieradz (1,847) and Troszyn (1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Sieradz have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Troszyn have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Troszyn(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Warta Sieradz win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Troszyn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Troszyn 1-4 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Warta Sieradz 1-2 Troszyn | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Troszyn 0-0 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Troszyn vs Warta Sieradz on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Warta Sieradz score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Troszyn score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Sieradz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Troszyn | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warta Sieradz sit 12th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Troszyn sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warta Sieradz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warta Sieradz vs Troszyn?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Troszyn.
- Where and when is Warta Sieradz vs Troszyn played?
- Warta Sieradz vs Troszyn is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Mar 6, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Mar 6, 2027Pelikan ŁowiczvsJagiellonia II
- Mar 6, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsMławianka Mława
- Mar 6, 2027ŁomżavsWisła Płock II
- Mar 6, 2027Widzew IIvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Mar 6, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsSwit
- Mar 6, 2027WeszlovsŁKS Łódź II