Match

Warta Sieradz vs Troszyn: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Sieradz

Warta SieradzTroszyn

The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Troszyn. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Warta Sieradz vs Troszyn?

A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Warta Sieradz (1,847) and Troszyn (1,748).

Warta Sieradz win52 %
Draw23 %
Troszyn win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Sieradz have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Troszyn have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Warta Sieradz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki(home)0-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Troszyn(away)4-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Jagiellonia II(home)2-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 9, 2026ŁKS Łódź II(away)1-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Mławianka Mława(home)1-2III Liga - Group 1
Troszyn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(away)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Warta Sieradz(home)1-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Wigry Suwałki(away)0-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home)1-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2026Widzew II(away)1-5III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Warta Sieradz win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Troszyn win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Troszyn 1-4 Warta SieradzIII Liga - Group 1
Apr 10, 2026Warta Sieradz 1-2 TroszynIII Liga - Group 1
Sep 20, 2025Troszyn 0-0 Warta SieradzIII Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Troszyn vs Warta Sieradz on Aug 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Warta Sieradz score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Troszyn score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Warta Sieradz1.91.159/1510/15
Troszyn1.31.8210/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Warta Sieradz sit 12th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Troszyn sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Warta Sieradz5212897
17Troszyn50144151

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Warta Sieradz vs Troszyn?
The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Troszyn.
Where and when is Warta Sieradz vs Troszyn played?
Warta Sieradz vs Troszyn is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Warta Sieradz and Troszyn

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