Pelikan Łowicz vs Jagiellonia II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Pelikan, Łowicz
The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Pelikan Łowicz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pelikan Łowicz vs Jagiellonia II?
Jagiellonia II starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,775 vs 1,654).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pelikan Łowicz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Jagiellonia II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pelikan Łowicz win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Jagiellonia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jagiellonia II 3-0 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Pelikan Łowicz 1-4 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Jagiellonia II 4-0 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Jagiellonia II 2-1 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Pelikan Łowicz 1-0 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 6, 2023 | Jagiellonia II 2-2 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan Łowicz on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pelikan Łowicz score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia II score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelikan Łowicz | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Jagiellonia II | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pelikan Łowicz sit 4th in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Jagiellonia II sit 10th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pelikan Łowicz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pelikan Łowicz vs Jagiellonia II?
- The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Pelikan Łowicz.
- Where and when is Pelikan Łowicz vs Jagiellonia II played?
- Pelikan Łowicz vs Jagiellonia II is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Pelikan, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Mar 6, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Mar 6, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsMławianka Mława
- Mar 6, 2027Warta SieradzvsTroszyn
- Mar 6, 2027ŁomżavsWisła Płock II
- Mar 6, 2027Widzew IIvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Mar 6, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsSwit
- Mar 6, 2027WeszlovsŁKS Łódź II