Match

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Swit: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Mazovia Minsk MazowieckiSwit

The Footlab model makes Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Swit. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Swit?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (1,751) and Swit (1,689).

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win50 %
Draw22 %
Swit win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki have 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Swit have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Olimpia Elbląg(home)2-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Swit(away)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki(home)3-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Troszyn(away)4-1III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026Jagiellonia II(home)2-3III Liga - Group 1
Swit
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wigry Suwałki(away)0-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home)1-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Widzew II(away)0-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Olimpia Zambrów(home)4-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away)2-1III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Swit win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Swit 1-2 Mazovia Minsk MazowieckiIII Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Swit vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki on Aug 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 6; Swit score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki2.31.806/66/6
Swit1.71.659/1510/15

Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Swit sit 10th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki531113910
10Swit4211737

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Swit?
The Footlab model makes Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Swit.
Where and when is Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Swit played?
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Swit is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki and Swit

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