Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Swit: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Swit. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Swit?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (1,751) and Swit (1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki have 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Swit have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Swit(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Troszyn(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Swit win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Swit 1-2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Swit vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 6; Swit score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0 | 6/6 | 6/6 |
| Swit | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Swit sit 10th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Swit | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Swit?
- The Footlab model makes Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Swit.
- Where and when is Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Swit played?
- Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Swit is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Mar 6, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Mar 6, 2027Pelikan ŁowiczvsJagiellonia II
- Mar 6, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsMławianka Mława
- Mar 6, 2027Warta SieradzvsTroszyn
- Mar 6, 2027ŁomżavsWisła Płock II
- Mar 6, 2027Widzew IIvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Mar 6, 2027WeszlovsŁKS Łódź II