Łomża vs Wisła Płock II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Łomża
The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Wisła Płock II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Łomża vs Wisła Płock II?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Łomża (1,842) and Wisła Płock II (1,760).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Łomża have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Wisła Płock II have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Łomża win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Wisła Płock II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Płock II 1-1 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Łomża 1-2 Wisła Płock II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Wisła Płock II 2-1 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Łomża 0-0 Wisła Płock II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Wisła Płock II 2-4 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Wisła Płock II vs Łomża on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wisła Płock II score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Łomża | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Wisła Płock II | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Łomża sit 15th in III Liga - Group 1 (2 points from 5 matches) and Wisła Płock II sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wisła Płock II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 15 | Łomża | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Łomża vs Wisła Płock II?
- The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Wisła Płock II.
- Where and when is Łomża vs Wisła Płock II played?
- Łomża vs Wisła Płock II is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Mar 6, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Mar 6, 2027Pelikan ŁowiczvsJagiellonia II
- Mar 6, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsMławianka Mława
- Mar 6, 2027Warta SieradzvsTroszyn
- Mar 6, 2027Widzew IIvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Mar 6, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsSwit
- Mar 6, 2027WeszlovsŁKS Łódź II