Levante vs Athletic Club: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia
The Footlab model makes Levante the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Athletic Club. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Levante vs Athletic Club?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Levante (2,045) and Athletic Club (2,072).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Levante have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Athletic Club have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Espanyol(away) | 0-3 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Castellón(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Villarreal(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Racing Santander(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Levante win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Athletic Club win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Athletic Club 4-2 Levante | La Liga |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Levante 0-2 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Mar 7, 2022 | Athletic Club 3-1 Levante | La Liga |
| Nov 19, 2021 | Levante 0-0 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Mar 4, 2021 | Levante 1-2 Athletic Club | Copa del Rey |
| Feb 26, 2021 | Levante 1-1 Athletic Club | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Athletic Club vs Levante on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Levante score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Club score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Athletic Club | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Levante | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Levante vs Athletic Club?
- The Footlab model makes Levante the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Athletic Club.
- Where and when is Levante vs Athletic Club played?
- Levante vs Athletic Club is played on September 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.