Prat vs Athletic Club: prediction and stats
Copa del ReyRound of 128Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Sagnier, El Prat de Llobregat
The Footlab AI model makes Athletic Club the favourite at 88%, against 9% for a draw and 3% for Prat. The most likely score is 0-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,044 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Prat vs Athletic Club?
Athletic Club is a heavy favourite: 2,087 Elo points against 1,687, a 400-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Prat vs Athletic Club
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Prat
4-3-3- MMiguel Fernández
- AAyman Amhot
- 9Rober Mañas
- 10Javier García
- JJulen Álvarez
- 6Álex Sánchez
- JJan Jou
- 34Diego Almeida Crespo
- GGuillem Corominas
- 12Sergi Rosanas
- AAleix Ruiz
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1- 9I. Williams
- 16Ruíz de Galarreta
- 23Robert Navarro
- 7Álex Berenguer
- 18Mikel Jauregizar
- 24Beñat Gerenabarrena
- 14Aymeric Laporte
- 31J. Louis-Jean
- 15Hugo Rincón
- 17Yuri
- 1Unai Simón
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 12:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Prat have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Athletic Club have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Rafael(home) | 5-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Rafael(away) | 5-1 | Copa del Rey |
| May 10, 2025 | Atlètic Lleida(away) | 0-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 4, 2025 | Peralada(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Mollerussa(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Levante(away) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Valencia(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Elche(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 3-0 | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Prat score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Club score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prat | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Athletic Club | 1.3 | 1.2 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Prat vs Athletic Club?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Prat vs Athletic Club?
- The Footlab AI model makes Athletic Club the favourite at 88%, against 9% for a draw and 3% for Prat.
- Where and when is Prat vs Athletic Club played?
- Prat vs Athletic Club is played on October 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Sagnier, in the Copa del Rey.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.