Levante vs Real Sociedad: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia
The Footlab model makes Levante the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Real Sociedad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Levante vs Real Sociedad?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Levante (2,043) and Real Sociedad (2,098).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Levante have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Real Sociedad have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Espanyol(away) | 0-3 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Castellón(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Villarreal(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Köln(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Levante win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Real Sociedad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Real Sociedad 2-0 Levante | La Liga |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Levante 1-1 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| May 6, 2022 | Levante 2-1 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Real Sociedad 1-0 Levante | La Liga |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Real Sociedad 1-0 Levante | La Liga |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Levante 2-1 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad vs Levante on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Levante score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Sociedad score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Sociedad | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Levante sit 20th in La Liga (0 points from 1 matches) and Real Sociedad sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Levante | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Levante vs Real Sociedad?
- The Footlab model makes Levante the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Real Sociedad.
- Where and when is Levante vs Real Sociedad played?
- Levante vs Real Sociedad is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.