Sevilla vs Athletic Club: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
The Footlab AI model makes Sevilla the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Athletic Club. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sevilla wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,005 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sevilla vs Athletic Club?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Sevilla (2,033) and Athletic Club (2,076).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sevilla vs Athletic Club
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sevilla
4-2-3-1- 19L. Stassin
- 6L. Agoumé
- 24Y. Fofana
- 20Félix Correia
- 16Isaac
- 11R. Vargas
- 17G. Suazo
- 2Juan Iglesias
- 4Kike Salas
- 5Andrés Castrín
- 1O. Vlachodimos
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1- 9I. Williams
- 7Álex Berenguer
- 28Peio Canales
- 10Nico Williams
- 24Beñat Gerenabarrena
- 23Robert Navarro
- 15Hugo Rincón
- 17Yuri
- 14Aymeric Laporte
- 3Dani Vivian
- 1Unai Simón
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 05:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevilla have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Athletic Club have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Hortaleza(away) | 3-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Osasuna(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 1-4 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Prat(away) | 6-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Getafe(home) | 4-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Levante(away) | 1-3 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sevilla wins, 1 draw, 3 Athletic Club wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Athletic Club 1-3 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Sevilla 2-1 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Athletic Club 3-2 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Sevilla 0-1 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Athletic Club 1-1 Sevilla | La Liga |
| May 19, 2024 | Athletic Club 2-0 Sevilla | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Athletic Club vs Sevilla on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sevilla score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Club score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 1.5 | 1.6 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Athletic Club | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sevilla sit 6th in La Liga (18 points from 12 matches) and Athletic Club sit 7th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 16 |
A question about Sevilla vs Athletic Club?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sevilla vs Athletic Club?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sevilla the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Athletic Club.
- Where and when is Sevilla vs Athletic Club played?
- Sevilla vs Athletic Club is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.