Sevilla vs Athletic Club: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
The Footlab model makes Athletic Club the favourite at 36%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sevilla. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sevilla vs Athletic Club?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Sevilla (2,056) and Athletic Club (2,052).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevilla have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Athletic Club have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sevilla win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Athletic Club win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Athletic Club 1-3 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Sevilla 2-1 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Athletic Club 3-2 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Sevilla 0-1 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Athletic Club 1-1 Sevilla | La Liga |
| May 19, 2024 | Athletic Club 2-0 Sevilla | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Athletic Club vs Sevilla on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sevilla score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Club score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Athletic Club | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sevilla sit 1st in La Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Athletic Club sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sevilla | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 20 | Athletic Club | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sevilla vs Athletic Club?
- The Footlab model makes Athletic Club the favourite at 36%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sevilla.
- Where and when is Sevilla vs Athletic Club played?
- Sevilla vs Athletic Club is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.