Villarreal vs Racing Santander: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Racing Santander. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villarreal vs Racing Santander?
Villarreal starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (2,150 vs 2,016).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villarreal vs Racing Santander
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villarreal
4-4-2- 22Ayoze Pérez
- 21T. Oluwaseyi
- 10Alberto Moleiro
- 14Santi Comesaña
- 11Ilias Akhomach
- 18P. Gueye
- 23Sergi Cardona
- 12Renato Veiga
- 3A. Freeman
- 6Pau Navarro
- 25P. Gulácsi
Racing Santander
4-2-3-1- 21M. Zabiri
- 10Iñigo Vicente
- 23Iván Martín
- 20Sergio Canales
- 18M. Prati
- 8André Almeida
- 2Álvaro Mantilla
- 17Jorge Salinas
- 5Pablo Ramón
- 24J. Belocian
- 13Julen Agirrezabala
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 10:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarreal have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Racing Santander have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 3-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Elche(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Napoli(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Levante(home) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 0-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 0-5 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 2-7 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Villarreal win, 3 draws, 2 Racing Santander wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Racing Santander 2-2 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Racing Santander 2-1 Villarreal | Copa del Rey |
| Apr 15, 2012 | Villarreal 1-1 Racing Santander | La Liga |
| Dec 3, 2011 | Racing Santander 1-0 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Feb 27, 2011 | Racing Santander 2-2 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Oct 3, 2010 | Villarreal 2-0 Racing Santander | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Racing Santander vs Villarreal on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villarreal score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Santander score 1.3 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Racing Santander | 1.3 | 2.4 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villarreal sit 12th in La Liga (9 points from 9 matches) and Racing Santander sit 16th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Villarreal | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 9 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 8 |
A question about Villarreal vs Racing Santander?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villarreal vs Racing Santander?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Racing Santander.
- Where and when is Villarreal vs Racing Santander played?
- Villarreal vs Racing Santander is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de la Cerámica, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.