Barcelona vs Valencia: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Camp Nou, Barcelona
The Footlab AI model makes Barcelona the favourite at 78%, against 15% for a draw and 7% for Valencia. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barcelona vs Valencia?
Barcelona is a heavy favourite: 2,436 Elo points against 2,066, a 370-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barcelona vs Valencia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barcelona
4-3-3- 10Lamine Yamal
- 17A. Gordon
- 11Raphinha
- 16Rodri
- 20Dani Olmo
- 8Pedri
- 24Eric García
- 18Gerard Martín
- 5Pau Cubarsí Paredes
- 12X. Espart
- 1Joan García
Valencia
5-4-1- 9Hugo Duro
- 8Javi Guerra
- 23F. Ugrinic
- 2G. Rodríguez
- 19Dani Raba
- 18Pepelu
- 14José Gayà
- 24Pablo Maffeo
- 12J. de Haas
- 4M. Diakhaby
- 1S. Dimitrievski
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barcelona have 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Valencia have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Getafe(home) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 7-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Levante(away) | 4-2 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Racing Santander(away) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Alaves(away) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 0-5 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Barcelona wins, 0 draws, 1 Valencia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Valencia 0-5 Barcelona | La Liga |
| May 23, 2026 | Valencia 3-1 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Barcelona 6-0 Valencia | La Liga |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Valencia 0-5 Barcelona | Copa del Rey |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Barcelona 7-1 Valencia | La Liga |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Valencia 1-2 Barcelona | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Barcelona score 3.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Valencia score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 3.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Valencia | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barcelona sit 1st in La Liga (24 points from 8 matches) and Valencia sit 19th (5 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 7 | 24 |
| 19 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 5 |
A question about Barcelona vs Valencia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barcelona vs Valencia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barcelona the favourite at 78%, against 15% for a draw and 7% for Valencia.
- Where and when is Barcelona vs Valencia played?
- Barcelona vs Valencia is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Nou, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.