Levski Krumovgrad vs Neftochimic Burgas: prediction and stats
Third League - SoutheastSoutheast - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nikola Shterev-Starika Complex, Plovdiv
The Footlab model makes Levski Krumovgrad the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Neftochimic Burgas. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Levski Krumovgrad vs Neftochimic Burgas?
Levski Krumovgrad starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,627 vs 1,524).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Levski Krumovgrad have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Neftochimic Burgas have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atletik Kuklen(away) | 3-1 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dimitrovgrad(home) | 4-3 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Levski Karlovo(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Southeast |
| May 25, 2025 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| May 19, 2025 | CSKA 1948(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maritsa Milevo(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sekirovo Rakovski(away) | 2-2 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv II(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Southeast |
| May 29, 2026 | Gigant Saedinenie(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Southeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Maritsa Milevo(home) | 2-2 | Third League - Southeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Levski Krumovgrad score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Neftochimic Burgas score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Krumovgrad | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Neftochimic Burgas | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Levski Krumovgrad sit 2nd in Third League - Southeast (9 points from 3 matches) and Neftochimic Burgas sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Levski Krumovgrad | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Neftochimic Burgas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Levski Krumovgrad vs Neftochimic Burgas?
- The Footlab model makes Levski Krumovgrad the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Neftochimic Burgas.
- Where and when is Levski Krumovgrad vs Neftochimic Burgas played?
- Levski Krumovgrad vs Neftochimic Burgas is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nikola Shterev-Starika Complex, in the Third League - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026SozopolvsDimitrovgrad
- Aug 29, 2026ZagoretsvsLevski Karlovo
- Aug 29, 2026Gigant SaedinenievsSekirovo Rakovski
- Aug 29, 2026Rozova dolinavsMaritsa Plovdiv
- Aug 29, 2026Yambol 1915vsRodopa Smolyan
- Aug 29, 2026Maritsa MilevovsBotev Plovdiv II
- Aug 29, 2026Sayana HaskovovsSpartak Plovdiv
- Aug 30, 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv IIvsAtletik Kuklen