Match

Levski Krumovgrad vs Neftochimic Burgas: prediction and stats

Third League - SoutheastSoutheast - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nikola Shterev-Starika Complex, Plovdiv

Levski KrumovgradNeftochimic Burgas

The Footlab model makes Levski Krumovgrad the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Neftochimic Burgas. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Levski Krumovgrad vs Neftochimic Burgas?

Levski Krumovgrad starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,627 vs 1,524).

Levski Krumovgrad win61 %
Draw21 %
Neftochimic Burgas win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Levski Krumovgrad have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Neftochimic Burgas have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Levski Krumovgrad
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Atletik Kuklen(away)3-1Third League - Southeast
Aug 15, 2026Dimitrovgrad(home)4-3Third League - Southeast
Aug 8, 2026Levski Karlovo(away)1-0Third League - Southeast
May 25, 2025Septemvri Sofia(home)1-2First League
May 19, 2025CSKA 1948(away)0-2First League
Neftochimic Burgas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maritsa Milevo(home)2-0Third League - Southeast
Aug 15, 2026Sekirovo Rakovski(away)2-2Third League - Southeast
Aug 8, 2026Botev Plovdiv II(home)0-2Third League - Southeast
May 29, 2026Gigant Saedinenie(away)0-3Third League - Southeast
May 23, 2026Maritsa Milevo(home)2-2Third League - Southeast

How many goals should we expect?

Levski Krumovgrad score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Neftochimic Burgas score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Levski Krumovgrad1.01.735/158/15
Neftochimic Burgas1.70.967/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Levski Krumovgrad sit 2nd in Third League - Southeast (9 points from 3 matches) and Neftochimic Burgas sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Levski Krumovgrad3300849
8Neftochimic Burgas3111444

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Levski Krumovgrad vs Neftochimic Burgas?
The Footlab model makes Levski Krumovgrad the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Neftochimic Burgas.
Where and when is Levski Krumovgrad vs Neftochimic Burgas played?
Levski Krumovgrad vs Neftochimic Burgas is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nikola Shterev-Starika Complex, in the Third League - Southeast.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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