Maritsa Milevo vs Botev Plovdiv II: prediction and stats
Third League - SoutheastSoutheast - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Maritsa Milevo the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Botev Plovdiv II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maritsa Milevo vs Botev Plovdiv II?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Maritsa Milevo (1,562) and Botev Plovdiv II (1,474).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maritsa Milevo have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Botev Plovdiv II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Neftochimic Burgas(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atletik Kuklen(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dimitrovgrad(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Southeast |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sekirovo Rakovski(home) | 2-2 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gigant Saedinenie(away) | 2-5 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Neftochimic Burgas(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Southeast |
| May 24, 2025 | Yantra 2019(away) | 3-5 | Second League |
| May 19, 2025 | Montana(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Maritsa Milevo score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Plovdiv II score 1.2 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maritsa Milevo | 1.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Botev Plovdiv II | 1.2 | 2.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maritsa Milevo sit 5th in Third League - Southeast (6 points from 3 matches) and Botev Plovdiv II sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maritsa Milevo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Botev Plovdiv II | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maritsa Milevo vs Botev Plovdiv II?
- The Footlab model makes Maritsa Milevo the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Botev Plovdiv II.
- Where and when is Maritsa Milevo vs Botev Plovdiv II played?
- Maritsa Milevo vs Botev Plovdiv II is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026SozopolvsDimitrovgrad
- Aug 29, 2026ZagoretsvsLevski Karlovo
- Aug 29, 2026Gigant SaedinenievsSekirovo Rakovski
- Aug 29, 2026Rozova dolinavsMaritsa Plovdiv
- Aug 29, 2026Yambol 1915vsRodopa Smolyan
- Aug 29, 2026Levski KrumovgradvsNeftochimic Burgas
- Aug 29, 2026Sayana HaskovovsSpartak Plovdiv
- Aug 30, 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv IIvsAtletik Kuklen