Match

Maritsa Milevo vs Botev Plovdiv II: prediction and stats

Third League - SoutheastSoutheast - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)

Maritsa MilevoBotev Plovdiv II

The Footlab model makes Maritsa Milevo the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Botev Plovdiv II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maritsa Milevo vs Botev Plovdiv II?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Maritsa Milevo (1,562) and Botev Plovdiv II (1,474).

Maritsa Milevo win64 %
Draw20 %
Botev Plovdiv II win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maritsa Milevo have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Botev Plovdiv II have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maritsa Milevo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Neftochimic Burgas(away)0-2Third League - Southeast
Aug 15, 2026Atletik Kuklen(home)1-0Third League - Southeast
Aug 8, 2026Dimitrovgrad(away)1-0Third League - Southeast
Jul 15, 2026Beroe(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
May 27, 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv II(home)2-0Third League - Southeast
Botev Plovdiv II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Sekirovo Rakovski(home)2-2Third League - Southeast
Aug 16, 2026Gigant Saedinenie(away)2-5Third League - Southeast
Aug 8, 2026Neftochimic Burgas(away)2-0Third League - Southeast
May 24, 2025Yantra 2019(away)3-5Second League
May 19, 2025Montana(home)0-0Second League

How many goals should we expect?

Maritsa Milevo score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Plovdiv II score 1.2 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maritsa Milevo1.90.876/158/15
Botev Plovdiv II1.22.247/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maritsa Milevo sit 5th in Third League - Southeast (6 points from 3 matches) and Botev Plovdiv II sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Maritsa Milevo3201226
9Botev Plovdiv II3111674

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maritsa Milevo vs Botev Plovdiv II?
The Footlab model makes Maritsa Milevo the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Botev Plovdiv II.
Where and when is Maritsa Milevo vs Botev Plovdiv II played?
Maritsa Milevo vs Botev Plovdiv II is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Southeast.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Ready to know everything about football?