Match

Sozopol vs Dimitrovgrad: prediction and stats

Third League - SoutheastSoutheast - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Sozopol

SozopolDimitrovgrad

The Footlab model makes Sozopol the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Dimitrovgrad. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sozopol vs Dimitrovgrad?

Sozopol starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,474 vs 1,361).

Sozopol win74 %
Draw15 %
Dimitrovgrad win10 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sozopol have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Dimitrovgrad have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sozopol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Levski Karlovo(away)4-1Third League - Southeast
Aug 15, 2026Rodopa Smolyan(home)0-2Third League - Southeast
Aug 8, 2026Spartak Plovdiv(away)3-4Third League - Southeast
May 27, 2026Rakovski 2011(home)4-1Third League - Southeast
May 23, 2026Sekirovo Rakovski(away)1-0Third League - Southeast
Dimitrovgrad
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv II(home)3-1Third League - Southeast
Aug 15, 2026Levski Krumovgrad(away)3-4Third League - Southeast
Aug 8, 2026Maritsa Milevo(home)0-1Third League - Southeast
May 29, 2026Atletik Kuklen(away)2-3Third League - Southeast
May 23, 2026Gigant Saedinenie(home)0-4Third League - Southeast

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sozopol win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Dimitrovgrad win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Dimitrovgrad 3-2 SozopolThird League - Southeast
Oct 25, 2025Sozopol 5-0 DimitrovgradThird League - Southeast
May 17, 2025Dimitrovgrad 2-0 SozopolThird League - Southeast
Nov 16, 2024Sozopol 1-0 DimitrovgradThird League - Southeast
Mar 9, 2024Sozopol 0-0 DimitrovgradThird League - Southeast
Aug 27, 2023Dimitrovgrad 0-0 SozopolThird League - Southeast

Last archived meeting: Dimitrovgrad vs Sozopol on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sozopol score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dimitrovgrad score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sozopol1.91.359/1510/15
Dimitrovgrad1.52.309/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sozopol sit 11th in Third League - Southeast (3 points from 3 matches) and Dimitrovgrad sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Sozopol3102773
12Dimitrovgrad3102663

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sozopol vs Dimitrovgrad?
The Footlab model makes Sozopol the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Dimitrovgrad.
Where and when is Sozopol vs Dimitrovgrad played?
Sozopol vs Dimitrovgrad is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southeast.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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