Sozopol vs Dimitrovgrad: prediction and stats
Third League - SoutheastSoutheast - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Sozopol
The Footlab model makes Sozopol the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Dimitrovgrad. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sozopol vs Dimitrovgrad?
Sozopol starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,474 vs 1,361).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sozopol have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Dimitrovgrad have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Levski Karlovo(away) | 4-1 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rodopa Smolyan(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spartak Plovdiv(away) | 3-4 | Third League - Southeast |
| May 27, 2026 | Rakovski 2011(home) | 4-1 | Third League - Southeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Sekirovo Rakovski(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Levski Krumovgrad(away) | 3-4 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maritsa Milevo(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Southeast |
| May 29, 2026 | Atletik Kuklen(away) | 2-3 | Third League - Southeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Gigant Saedinenie(home) | 0-4 | Third League - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sozopol win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Dimitrovgrad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Dimitrovgrad 3-2 Sozopol | Third League - Southeast |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Sozopol 5-0 Dimitrovgrad | Third League - Southeast |
| May 17, 2025 | Dimitrovgrad 2-0 Sozopol | Third League - Southeast |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Sozopol 1-0 Dimitrovgrad | Third League - Southeast |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Sozopol 0-0 Dimitrovgrad | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Dimitrovgrad 0-0 Sozopol | Third League - Southeast |
Last archived meeting: Dimitrovgrad vs Sozopol on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sozopol score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dimitrovgrad score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozopol | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Dimitrovgrad | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sozopol sit 11th in Third League - Southeast (3 points from 3 matches) and Dimitrovgrad sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sozopol | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
| 12 | Dimitrovgrad | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sozopol vs Dimitrovgrad?
- The Footlab model makes Sozopol the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Dimitrovgrad.
- Where and when is Sozopol vs Dimitrovgrad played?
- Sozopol vs Dimitrovgrad is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026ZagoretsvsLevski Karlovo
- Aug 29, 2026Gigant SaedinenievsSekirovo Rakovski
- Aug 29, 2026Rozova dolinavsMaritsa Plovdiv
- Aug 29, 2026Yambol 1915vsRodopa Smolyan
- Aug 29, 2026Maritsa MilevovsBotev Plovdiv II
- Aug 29, 2026Levski KrumovgradvsNeftochimic Burgas
- Aug 29, 2026Sayana HaskovovsSpartak Plovdiv
- Aug 30, 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv IIvsAtletik Kuklen