Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo: prediction and stats
Third League - SoutheastSoutheast - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Zagorets, Nova Zagora
The Footlab model makes Zagorets the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Levski Karlovo. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Zagorets (1,473) and Levski Karlovo (1,456).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zagorets have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Levski Karlovo have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rodopa Smolyan(away) | 3-1 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spartak Plovdiv(home) | 1-4 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maritsa Plovdiv(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southeast |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 29, 2026 | Maritsa Plovdiv(away) | 1-9 | Third League - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sozopol(home) | 1-4 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Levski Krumovgrad(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Southeast |
| May 27, 2026 | Sayana Haskovo(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southeast |
| May 22, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II(away) | 3-2 | Third League - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Zagorets win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Levski Karlovo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Levski Karlovo 5-2 Zagorets | Third League - Southeast |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Zagorets 1-2 Levski Karlovo | Third League - Southeast |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Levski Karlovo 0-0 Zagorets | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Zagorets 1-0 Levski Karlovo | Third League - Southeast |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Zagorets 2-1 Levski Karlovo | Third League - Southeast |
| Oct 11, 2023 | Levski Karlovo 2-1 Zagorets | Third League - Southeast |
Last archived meeting: Levski Karlovo vs Zagorets on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zagorets score 1.7 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Levski Karlovo score 2.0 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zagorets | 1.7 | 2.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Levski Karlovo | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zagorets sit 10th in Third League - Southeast (4 points from 3 matches) and Levski Karlovo sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Zagorets | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Levski Karlovo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo?
- The Footlab model makes Zagorets the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Levski Karlovo.
- Where and when is Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo played?
- Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Zagorets, in the Third League - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026SozopolvsDimitrovgrad
- Aug 29, 2026Gigant SaedinenievsSekirovo Rakovski
- Aug 29, 2026Rozova dolinavsMaritsa Plovdiv
- Aug 29, 2026Yambol 1915vsRodopa Smolyan
- Aug 29, 2026Maritsa MilevovsBotev Plovdiv II
- Aug 29, 2026Levski KrumovgradvsNeftochimic Burgas
- Aug 29, 2026Sayana HaskovovsSpartak Plovdiv
- Aug 30, 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv IIvsAtletik Kuklen