Match

Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo: prediction and stats

Third League - SoutheastSoutheast - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Zagorets, Nova Zagora

ZagoretsLevski Karlovo

The Footlab model makes Zagorets the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Levski Karlovo. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Zagorets (1,473) and Levski Karlovo (1,456).

Zagorets win52 %
Draw22 %
Levski Karlovo win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zagorets have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Levski Karlovo have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zagorets
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Rodopa Smolyan(away)3-1Third League - Southeast
Aug 15, 2026Spartak Plovdiv(home)1-4Third League - Southeast
Aug 8, 2026Maritsa Plovdiv(away)0-0Third League - Southeast
Jul 18, 2026Beroe(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 29, 2026Maritsa Plovdiv(away)1-9Third League - Southeast
Levski Karlovo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Sozopol(home)1-4Third League - Southeast
Aug 15, 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv II(away)0-2Third League - Southeast
Aug 8, 2026Levski Krumovgrad(home)0-1Third League - Southeast
May 27, 2026Sayana Haskovo(home)2-1Third League - Southeast
May 22, 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv II(away)3-2Third League - Southeast

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Zagorets win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Levski Karlovo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 29, 2026Levski Karlovo 5-2 ZagoretsThird League - Southeast
Oct 18, 2025Zagorets 1-2 Levski KarlovoThird League - Southeast
Feb 15, 2025Levski Karlovo 0-0 ZagoretsThird League - Southeast
Aug 3, 2024Zagorets 1-0 Levski KarlovoThird League - Southeast
Apr 20, 2024Zagorets 2-1 Levski KarlovoThird League - Southeast
Oct 11, 2023Levski Karlovo 2-1 ZagoretsThird League - Southeast

Last archived meeting: Levski Karlovo vs Zagorets on Apr 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Zagorets score 1.7 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Levski Karlovo score 2.0 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Zagorets1.72.4410/1512/15
Levski Karlovo2.02.2012/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zagorets sit 10th in Third League - Southeast (4 points from 3 matches) and Levski Karlovo sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Zagorets3111454
18Levski Karlovo3003170

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo?
The Footlab model makes Zagorets the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Levski Karlovo.
Where and when is Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo played?
Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Zagorets, in the Third League - Southeast.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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