Rozova dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv: prediction and stats
Third League - SoutheastSoutheast - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sevtopolis, Kazanlak
The Footlab model makes Maritsa Plovdiv the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Rozova dolina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rozova dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv?
Maritsa Plovdiv starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,582 vs 1,449).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rozova dolina have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Maritsa Plovdiv have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gigant Saedinenie(home) | 2-2 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sayana Haskovo(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yambol 1915(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Asenovets(away) | 2-4 | Third League - Southeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Zagorets(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sayana Haskovo(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yambol 1915(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zagorets(home) | 0-0 | Third League - Southeast |
| May 29, 2026 | Zagorets(home) | 9-1 | Third League - Southeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Spartak Plovdiv(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rozova dolina win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Maritsa Plovdiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Rozova dolina 1-0 Maritsa Plovdiv | Third League - Southeast |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Maritsa Plovdiv 2-1 Rozova dolina | Third League - Southeast |
| May 17, 2025 | Rozova dolina 0-2 Maritsa Plovdiv | Third League - Southeast |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Maritsa Plovdiv 0-0 Rozova dolina | Third League - Southeast |
| May 8, 2021 | Rozova dolina 5-1 Maritsa Plovdiv | Third League - Southeast |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Maritsa Plovdiv 7-0 Rozova dolina | Third League - Southeast |
Last archived meeting: Rozova dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rozova dolina score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Maritsa Plovdiv score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rozova dolina | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Maritsa Plovdiv | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rozova dolina sit 13th in Third League - Southeast (3 points from 3 matches) and Maritsa Plovdiv sit 17th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Rozova dolina | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rozova dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv?
- The Footlab model makes Maritsa Plovdiv the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Rozova dolina.
- Where and when is Rozova dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv played?
- Rozova dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sevtopolis, in the Third League - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026SozopolvsDimitrovgrad
- Aug 29, 2026ZagoretsvsLevski Karlovo
- Aug 29, 2026Gigant SaedinenievsSekirovo Rakovski
- Aug 29, 2026Yambol 1915vsRodopa Smolyan
- Aug 29, 2026Maritsa MilevovsBotev Plovdiv II
- Aug 29, 2026Levski KrumovgradvsNeftochimic Burgas
- Aug 29, 2026Sayana HaskovovsSpartak Plovdiv
- Aug 30, 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv IIvsAtletik Kuklen