Match

Rozova dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv: prediction and stats

Third League - SoutheastSoutheast - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sevtopolis, Kazanlak

Rozova dolinaMaritsa Plovdiv

The Footlab model makes Maritsa Plovdiv the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Rozova dolina. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rozova dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv?

Maritsa Plovdiv starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,582 vs 1,449).

Rozova dolina win33 %
Draw26 %
Maritsa Plovdiv win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rozova dolina have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Maritsa Plovdiv have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rozova dolina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gigant Saedinenie(home)2-2Third League - Southeast
Aug 15, 2026Sayana Haskovo(away)1-1Third League - Southeast
Aug 8, 2026Yambol 1915(home)1-1Third League - Southeast
May 23, 2026Asenovets(away)2-4Third League - Southeast
May 16, 2026Zagorets(home)2-1Third League - Southeast
Maritsa Plovdiv
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Sayana Haskovo(home)1-2Third League - Southeast
Aug 15, 2026Yambol 1915(away)0-3Third League - Southeast
Aug 8, 2026Zagorets(home)0-0Third League - Southeast
May 29, 2026Zagorets(home)9-1Third League - Southeast
May 23, 2026Spartak Plovdiv(away)1-3Third League - Southeast

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rozova dolina win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Maritsa Plovdiv win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Rozova dolina 1-0 Maritsa PlovdivThird League - Southeast
Nov 1, 2025Maritsa Plovdiv 2-1 Rozova dolinaThird League - Southeast
May 17, 2025Rozova dolina 0-2 Maritsa PlovdivThird League - Southeast
Nov 16, 2024Maritsa Plovdiv 0-0 Rozova dolinaThird League - Southeast
May 8, 2021Rozova dolina 5-1 Maritsa PlovdivThird League - Southeast
Oct 31, 2020Maritsa Plovdiv 7-0 Rozova dolinaThird League - Southeast

Last archived meeting: Rozova dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Rozova dolina score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Maritsa Plovdiv score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rozova dolina1.22.0310/1510/15
Maritsa Plovdiv1.91.638/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rozova dolina sit 13th in Third League - Southeast (3 points from 3 matches) and Maritsa Plovdiv sit 17th (1 points from 3 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Rozova dolina3030443
17Maritsa Plovdiv3012151

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rozova dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv?
The Footlab model makes Maritsa Plovdiv the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Rozova dolina.
Where and when is Rozova dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv played?
Rozova dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sevtopolis, in the Third League - Southeast.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Ready to know everything about football?