Match

Sayana Haskovo vs Spartak Plovdiv: prediction and stats

Third League - SoutheastSoutheast - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dimitar Kanev, Haskovo

Sayana HaskovoSpartak Plovdiv

The Footlab model makes Sayana Haskovo the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Spartak Plovdiv. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sayana Haskovo vs Spartak Plovdiv?

Spartak Plovdiv starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,605 vs 1,503).

Sayana Haskovo win50 %
Draw22 %
Spartak Plovdiv win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sayana Haskovo have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Spartak Plovdiv have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sayana Haskovo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maritsa Plovdiv(away)2-1Third League - Southeast
Aug 15, 2026Rozova dolina(home)1-1Third League - Southeast
Aug 7, 2026Gigant Saedinenie(home)4-2Third League - Southeast
May 27, 2026Levski Karlovo(away)1-2Third League - Southeast
May 23, 2026Rodopa Smolyan(home)3-0Third League - Southeast
Spartak Plovdiv
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Yambol 1915(home)3-1Third League - Southeast
Aug 15, 2026Zagorets(away)4-1Third League - Southeast
Aug 8, 2026Sozopol(home)4-3Third League - Southeast
May 30, 2026Yambol 1915(away)2-4Third League - Southeast
May 23, 2026Maritsa Plovdiv(home)3-1Third League - Southeast

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sayana Haskovo win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Spartak Plovdiv win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Sayana Haskovo 2-1 Spartak PlovdivThird League - Southeast
Sep 13, 2025Spartak Plovdiv 5-0 Sayana HaskovoThird League - Southeast
May 3, 2025Spartak Plovdiv 5-0 Sayana HaskovoThird League - Southeast
Oct 24, 2024Sayana Haskovo 0-4 Spartak PlovdivThird League - Southeast
Apr 17, 2024Spartak Plovdiv 2-1 Sayana HaskovoThird League - Southeast
Oct 7, 2023Sayana Haskovo 2-0 Spartak PlovdivThird League - Southeast

Last archived meeting: Sayana Haskovo vs Spartak Plovdiv on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sayana Haskovo score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Plovdiv score 2.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sayana Haskovo1.71.159/159/15
Spartak Plovdiv2.32.3312/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sayana Haskovo sit 3rd in Third League - Southeast (7 points from 3 matches) and Spartak Plovdiv sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Spartak Plovdiv33001159
3Sayana Haskovo3210747

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sayana Haskovo vs Spartak Plovdiv?
The Footlab model makes Sayana Haskovo the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Spartak Plovdiv.
Where and when is Sayana Haskovo vs Spartak Plovdiv played?
Sayana Haskovo vs Spartak Plovdiv is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dimitar Kanev, in the Third League - Southeast.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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