Sayana Haskovo vs Spartak Plovdiv: prediction and stats
Third League - SoutheastSoutheast - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dimitar Kanev, Haskovo
The Footlab model makes Sayana Haskovo the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Spartak Plovdiv. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sayana Haskovo vs Spartak Plovdiv?
Spartak Plovdiv starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,605 vs 1,503).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sayana Haskovo have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Spartak Plovdiv have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maritsa Plovdiv(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rozova dolina(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Gigant Saedinenie(home) | 4-2 | Third League - Southeast |
| May 27, 2026 | Levski Karlovo(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Rodopa Smolyan(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yambol 1915(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zagorets(away) | 4-1 | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sozopol(home) | 4-3 | Third League - Southeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Yambol 1915(away) | 2-4 | Third League - Southeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Maritsa Plovdiv(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sayana Haskovo win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Spartak Plovdiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Sayana Haskovo 2-1 Spartak Plovdiv | Third League - Southeast |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Spartak Plovdiv 5-0 Sayana Haskovo | Third League - Southeast |
| May 3, 2025 | Spartak Plovdiv 5-0 Sayana Haskovo | Third League - Southeast |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Sayana Haskovo 0-4 Spartak Plovdiv | Third League - Southeast |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Spartak Plovdiv 2-1 Sayana Haskovo | Third League - Southeast |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Sayana Haskovo 2-0 Spartak Plovdiv | Third League - Southeast |
Last archived meeting: Sayana Haskovo vs Spartak Plovdiv on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sayana Haskovo score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Plovdiv score 2.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sayana Haskovo | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Spartak Plovdiv | 2.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sayana Haskovo sit 3rd in Third League - Southeast (7 points from 3 matches) and Spartak Plovdiv sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Plovdiv | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Sayana Haskovo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sayana Haskovo vs Spartak Plovdiv?
- The Footlab model makes Sayana Haskovo the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Spartak Plovdiv.
- Where and when is Sayana Haskovo vs Spartak Plovdiv played?
- Sayana Haskovo vs Spartak Plovdiv is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dimitar Kanev, in the Third League - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026SozopolvsDimitrovgrad
- Aug 29, 2026ZagoretsvsLevski Karlovo
- Aug 29, 2026Gigant SaedinenievsSekirovo Rakovski
- Aug 29, 2026Rozova dolinavsMaritsa Plovdiv
- Aug 29, 2026Yambol 1915vsRodopa Smolyan
- Aug 29, 2026Levski KrumovgradvsNeftochimic Burgas
- Aug 29, 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv IIvsAtletik Kuklen
- Aug 30, 2026Maritsa MilevovsBotev Plovdiv II