Libertas vs Folgore: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore, Borgo Maggiore
The Footlab AI model makes Folgore the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Libertas. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Libertas vs Folgore?
Folgore starts as the favourite with a 243-point Elo edge (1,290 vs 1,047).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Libertas vs Folgore
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Libertas
Not enough data to predict the Libertas lineup.
Folgore
Not enough data to predict the Folgore lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 07:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Libertas have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Folgore have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Cailungo(away) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Faetano(home) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Virtus(away) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Folgore(home) | 0-2 | Coppa Titano |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(home) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Pennarossa(away) | 5-1 | Campionato |
| Sep 19, 2026 | San Marino Academy(home) | 2-0 | Campionato |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(away) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Libertas(away) | 2-0 | Coppa Titano |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Cailungo(home) | 1-0 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Libertas wins, 1 draw, 5 Folgore wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Libertas 0-2 Folgore | Coppa Titano |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Libertas 2-4 Folgore | Campionato |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Folgore 6-1 Libertas | Campionato |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Folgore 3-0 Libertas | Campionato |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Libertas 0-1 Folgore | Campionato |
| Feb 20, 2024 | Folgore 1-1 Libertas | Campionato |
How many goals should we expect?
Libertas score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Folgore score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertas | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Folgore | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Libertas sit 6th in Campionato (8 points from 5 matches) and Folgore sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Libertas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
A question about Libertas vs Folgore?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Libertas vs Folgore?
- The Footlab AI model makes Folgore the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Libertas.
- Where and when is Libertas vs Folgore played?
- Libertas vs Folgore is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.