Lille vs Le Havre: result 1-0 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:15 PM (UTC)Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Full time
What was the result of Lille vs Le Havre?
Lille won 1-0 on October 10, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 5′D. BakwaLille
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Lille win at 67%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-0. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Lille vs Le Havre
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Lille
4-2-3-1- 9O. Giroud
- 28G. Perrin
- 17N. Mukau
- 7D. Bakwa
- 14M. Kjærgaard
- 6N. Bentaleb
- 15R. Perraud
- 4Alexsandro Ribeiro
- 23T. Nianzou
- 22Tiago Santos
- 1B. Özer
Le Havre
4-2-3-1- 9J. Maja
- 25M. Samatta
- 14R. Ndiaye
- 30S. Nakamura
- 7A. Richardson
- 26S. Ebonog
- 97M. Ndiaye
- 5A. Touba
- 15A. Seko
- 20D. Ouziad
- 93G. Gallon
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lille have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Le Havre have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Nice(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Angers(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lille wins, 1 draw, 1 Le Havre win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Lille 1-1 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Le Havre 0-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Lille 1-2 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Le Havre 0-3 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Lille 3-0 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Le Havre 0-2 Lille | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lille score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Le Havre score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Le Havre | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lille sit 2nd in Ligue 1 (13 points from 6 matches) and Le Havre sit 18th (2 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
A question about Lille vs Le Havre?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy