Nice vs Strasbourg: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Allianz Riviera, Nice
The Footlab model makes Nice the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Strasbourg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nice vs Strasbourg?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Nice (1,957) and Strasbourg (2,005).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nice have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Strasbourg have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lorient(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nimes(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 0-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SC Freiburg(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nice win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Strasbourg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Strasbourg 0-2 Nice | Coupe de France |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Strasbourg 3-1 Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Nice 1-1 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Strasbourg 2-2 Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Nice 2-1 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Strasbourg 1-3 Nice | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Nice score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Strasbourg score 1.2 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 1.0 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Strasbourg | 1.2 | 2.6 | 0 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nice sit 10th in Ligue 1 (1 points from 1 matches) and Strasbourg sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Strasbourg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nice vs Strasbourg?
- The Footlab model makes Nice the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Strasbourg.
- Where and when is Nice vs Strasbourg played?
- Nice vs Strasbourg is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Allianz Riviera, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.