Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Strasbourg. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?
Paris Saint Germain starts as the favourite with a 258-point Elo edge (2,307 vs 2,049).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Strasbourg
4-3-3- 11S. Nanasi
- 30J. Ortega
- 14S. Mara
- 23Diogo Sousa
- 80Gessime Yassine
- 10G. Reyna
- 16G. Antwi
- 4J. Mitchell
- 6I. Doukouré
- 36Oso
- 1F. Jörgensen
Paris Saint Germain
4-3-3- 7K. Kvaratskhelia
- 10O. Dembélé
- 14D. Doué
- 17Vitinha
- 87João Neves
- 8Fabián Ruiz
- 51W. Pacho
- 33W. Zaïre-Emery
- 5Marquinhos
- 25Nuno Mendes
- 39M. Safonov
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 10:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strasbourg have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Paris Saint Germain have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Paris FC(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Estac Troyes(away) | 6-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Lens(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 0-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(home) | 6-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Lille(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Strasbourg win, 1 draw, 4 Paris Saint Germain wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Strasbourg 1-2 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Paris Saint Germain 3-3 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| May 3, 2025 | Strasbourg 2-1 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Paris Saint Germain 4-2 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Strasbourg 1-2 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Paris Saint Germain 3-0 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Strasbourg score 1.6 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Paris Saint Germain score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 1.6 | 2.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Paris Saint Germain | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Strasbourg sit 8th in Ligue 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Paris Saint Germain sit 6th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Strasbourg.
- Where and when is Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain played?
- Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Meinau, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.