Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Antonio Arias, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Argentino de Merlo the favourite at 41%, against 34% for a draw and 25% for Liniers. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Liniers (1,602) and Argentino de Merlo (1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liniers have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Argentino de Merlo have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Flandria(away) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(home) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(away) | 3-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Comunicaciones(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dock Sud(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Excursionistas(away) | 0-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arsenal Sarandi(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ituzaingó(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Talleres Remedios(away) | 2-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Deportivo Laferrere(home) | 1-3 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Liniers win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Argentino de Merlo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Argentino de Merlo 0-1 Liniers | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Argentino de Merlo 5-1 Liniers | Primera B Metropolitana |
| May 4, 2025 | Liniers 1-3 Argentino de Merlo | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Liniers 1-1 Argentino de Merlo | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Argentino de Merlo 1-0 Liniers | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Argentino de Merlo 3-2 Liniers | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Argentino de Merlo vs Liniers on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Liniers score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Argentino de Merlo score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liniers | 0.7 | 0.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Argentino de Merlo | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Liniers sit 14th in Primera B Metropolitana (24 points from 21 matches) and Argentino de Merlo sit 12th (24 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Argentino de Merlo | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 30 | 40 |
| 12 | Argentino de Merlo | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 24 |
| 14 | Liniers | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 24 |
| 18 | Liniers | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 31 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo?
- The Footlab model makes Argentino de Merlo the favourite at 41%, against 34% for a draw and 25% for Liniers.
- Where and when is Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo played?
- Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Antonio Arias, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Villa DalminevsItuzaingó
- Sep 19, 2026UAI UrquizavsExcursionistas
- Sep 19, 2026Real PilarvsArsenal Sarandi
- Sep 19, 2026Dock SudvsArgentino Quilmes
- Sep 19, 2026Deportivo CamionerosvsDeportivo Armenio
- Sep 19, 2026ComunicacionesvsDefensores Unidos
- Sep 19, 2026Villa San CarlosvsTalleres Remedios
- Sep 19, 2026Deportivo MerlovsFlandria