Match

llanelli AFC vs Swansea University: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 19Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stebonheath Park, Llanelli, Carmarthenshire

llanelli AFCSwansea University

The Footlab model makes llanelli AFC the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Swansea University. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win llanelli AFC vs Swansea University?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate llanelli AFC (1,537) and Swansea University (1,557).

llanelli AFC win40 %
Draw24 %
Swansea University win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, llanelli AFC have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Swansea University have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

llanelli AFC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Cardiff Draconians(away)2-4FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026Swansea University(away)0-3FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026Trethomas Bluebirds(home)1-1FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026Newport City(home)1-4FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026Haverfordwest County AFC(away)0-6Premier League
Swansea University
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Caerau (Ely)(away)5-1FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026llanelli AFC(home)3-0FAW Championship
Aug 9, 2026Baglan Dragons(away)3-0FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026Llantwit Major(away)3-0FAW Championship
Oct 18, 2025Trefelin(home)1-6Welsh Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 llanelli AFC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Swansea University win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Swansea University 3-0 llanelli AFCFAW Championship
Apr 14, 2023llanelli AFC 2-0 Swansea UniversityFAW Championship
Sep 24, 2022Swansea University 0-2 llanelli AFCFAW Championship
Oct 2, 2021Swansea University 2-2 llanelli AFCFAW Championship
Aug 24, 2021llanelli AFC 1-1 Swansea UniversityFAW Championship
Feb 21, 2020llanelli AFC 0-2 Swansea UniversityFAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Swansea University vs llanelli AFC on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

llanelli AFC score 0.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Swansea University score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
llanelli AFC0.72.718/159/15
Swansea University1.91.666/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

llanelli AFC sit 15th in FAW Championship (1 points from 4 matches) and Swansea University sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Swansea University440014112
15llanelli AFC40134121

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for llanelli AFC vs Swansea University?
The Footlab model makes llanelli AFC the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Swansea University.
Where and when is llanelli AFC vs Swansea University played?
llanelli AFC vs Swansea University is played on December 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stebonheath Park, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: llanelli AFC and Swansea University

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