Where and when is Treowen Stars vs Aberystwyth Town played?

Treowen Stars vs Aberystwyth Town is played on December 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC), in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Treowen Stars vs Aberystwyth Town: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 19Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)

Treowen Stars

Aberystwyth Town

The Footlab model makes Treowen Stars the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Aberystwyth Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Treowen Stars vs Aberystwyth Town?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Treowen Stars (1,581) and Aberystwyth Town (1,579).

Treowen Stars win49 %

Draw22 %

Aberystwyth Town win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Treowen Stars have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Aberystwyth Town have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Treowen Stars
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Carmarthen Town(away)	4-2	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Caerphilly Athletic(home)	3-0	FAW Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(away)	2-1	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Pontypridd Town(home)	2-3	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Carmarthen Town(home)	4-1	FAW Championship

Aberystwyth Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Llantwit Major(home)	5-1	FAW Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Treowen Stars(home)	1-2	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Afan Lido(away)	5-2	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Ynyshir Albions(away)	0-0	FAW Championship
Apr 11, 2026	Cwmbran Celtic(away)	1-3	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Treowen Stars win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Aberystwyth Town win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Aberystwyth Town 1-2 Treowen Stars	FAW Championship
Feb 14, 2026	Aberystwyth Town 2-1 Treowen Stars	FAW Championship
Oct 11, 2025	Treowen Stars 2-3 Aberystwyth Town	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Aberystwyth Town vs Treowen Stars on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Treowen Stars score 2.0 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Aberystwyth Town score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Treowen Stars	2.0	2.2	1	11/15	13/15
Aberystwyth Town	1.5	1.6	4	7/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Treowen Stars sit 3rd in FAW Championship (9 points from 4 matches) and Aberystwyth Town sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Treowen Stars	4	3	0	1	11	6	9
6	Aberystwyth Town	3	2	0	1	11	5	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Treowen Stars vs Aberystwyth Town?: The Footlab model makes Treowen Stars the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Aberystwyth Town.
Where and when is Treowen Stars vs Aberystwyth Town played?: Treowen Stars vs Aberystwyth Town is played on December 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC), in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.