Treowen Stars vs Aberystwyth Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 19Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Treowen Stars. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,239 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Treowen Stars vs Aberystwyth Town?
Aberystwyth Town starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,650 vs 1,550).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Treowen Stars vs Aberystwyth Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Treowen Stars
Not enough data to predict the Treowen Stars lineup.
Aberystwyth Town
Not enough data to predict the Aberystwyth Town lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 12:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Treowen Stars have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Aberystwyth Town have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Newport City(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(away) | 1-6 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Prestatyn Town(home) | 5-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Treowen Stars win, 0 draws, 2 Aberystwyth Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town 1-2 Treowen Stars | FAW Championship |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town 2-1 Treowen Stars | FAW Championship |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Treowen Stars 2-3 Aberystwyth Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Aberystwyth Town vs Treowen Stars on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Treowen Stars score 1.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aberystwyth Town score 2.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treowen Stars | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Aberystwyth Town | 2.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Treowen Stars sit 9th in FAW Championship (17 points from 12 matches) and Aberystwyth Town sit 2nd (25 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aberystwyth Town | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 10 | 25 |
| 9 | Treowen Stars | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 17 |
A question about Treowen Stars vs Aberystwyth Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Treowen Stars vs Aberystwyth Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Treowen Stars.
- Where and when is Treowen Stars vs Aberystwyth Town played?
- Treowen Stars vs Aberystwyth Town is played on December 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC), in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026llanelli AFCvsSwansea University
- Dec 26, 2026Carmarthen TownvsPontardawe Town
- Dec 26, 2026Llantwit MajorvsPontypridd Town
- Dec 26, 2026Afan LidovsBaglan Dragons
- Dec 26, 2026Caerau (Ely)vsCardiff Draconians
- Dec 26, 2026Ynyshir AlbionsvsNewport City
- Dec 27, 2026Caerphilly AthleticvsTrethomas Bluebirds